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美日同床異夢各懷鬼胎/美日相奸、比奸誰第一/台灣從美國棋子到燙手山芋/缺德無能防疫只造神,留言一面倒(未完)

2021/05/06 10:38:34瀏覽1842｜回應7｜推薦78

美國見死不救，連一劑疫苗也不給，DPP明明自找屈辱並害我民死；美國只給毒豬，從來不幹好事，惡霸我行我素。民進黨人為造成了疫區重災區。

缺水缺電缺疫苗缺論文，就是不缺網軍、肥貓、東廠媒體。最重要的——缺誠實缺德。也不怕粉飾太平，一一露餡，没有臉皮。上台機會難得，死官員一個也不肯下台，毫不謝罪，惡霸很敢我行我素。批民主塑膠皮，實則是陰險獨裁。

民進黨獨裁本相、貪婪本色、演變成謀財害命、即將集體屠殺的恐怖事實，人禍正在上演。台灣人民太善良、或太好騙、或太懦弱、或太笨、或太無力、或太天真......。該集體抗暴，把蔡式謀財害命集團趕走，如西太后被趕走一樣。國民黨跟他們講理沒用，罷免也太慢太遲，應直接起而抗暴，拉她下台滾蛋！

大陸經濟正逐漸復甦，大陸智庫預期今年經濟成長率可破8。圖為大陸高鐵列車停靠在武漢動車段的存車線上，準備進行檢修和保養。（新華社）

美日同床異夢各懷鬼胎，把蔡英文急白了頭髮/美日相奸、比奸誰第一？/台灣從美國棋子到燙手山芋？毒蛇蠍蟑螂王彌天大謊露餡貽笑國際危害國人生命健康(未完)

美日相奸、比奸誰第一？Who is more treacherous and insidious in America or Japan? They are all raccoon dogs.

美國鼓動台灣獨立或維持現狀，把台灣和大陸當提款機，榨取不當利益，買空賣空，食髓知味，現在變本加厲。

The United States encourages Taiwan’s independence or maintains the status quo, using Taiwan and the mainland as cash machines, buying short and selling short, and it has become more intensified.

《邱毅說》美日同床異夢各懷鬼胎，把蔡英文急白了頭髮

The United States and Japan have different dreams in the same bed, and they have different dreams, making Tsai Ing-wen anxiously gray hair

Apr. 29, 2021

美日同床異夢各懷鬼胎，把蔡英文急白了頭髮

老奸巨猾老狐狸的拜登，入主白宮以後，他鎖定美國有兩個最大的戰略的對手，一個是傳統的俄羅斯，另外一個就是崛起的中國大陸。而他對付俄羅斯跟中國所採取的戰略，都是他的縱橫術，把它合在一起，就叫做拜登的全球縱橫術。在拜登的全球縱橫術裡面，歐洲的部分，他的對手是俄羅斯，他用的方法是什麼呢？聯合歐盟的國家，然後以烏克蘭的總統澤連斯基，作為他的馬仔，作為他的馬前卒，挑起了烏克蘭，烏東的內戰，聯合了歐盟的國家，用烏東的內戰，來壓制俄羅斯，然後在俄羅斯的境內，利用反普京的人士，納瓦爾尼，用這個事件來挑動顏色革命，而來準備搞一個超大規模的抗戰，要使俄羅斯陷入一個內憂外患，這就是拜登用縱橫術來對付俄羅斯的辦法。

After entering the White House, Biden, an old and cunning old fox, locked the two biggest strategic opponents of the United States, one is traditional Russia, and the other is the rising mainland China. And the strategies he adopted to deal with Russia and China are all his vertical and horizontal techniques. Putting them together is called Bidens global vertical and horizontal techniques. In Bidens global strategy, his opponent is Russia in the European part. What method did he use? The countries that united with the European Union, then used Ukraine’s President Zelensky as his pawn and his pawn, provoking a civil war in Ukraine and eastern Ukraine, uniting the countries of the European Union, and using the civil war in eastern Ukraine to suppress Russia, and then in Russia, used the anti-Putin figure, Navalny, to use this event to provoke the color revolution and prepare for an ultra-large-scale war of resistance to plunge Russia into internal and external troubles. This is Bidens strategy Techniques to deal with Russia.

至於在亞太或印太的部分，他的方法如出一轍，也是縱橫術。他結盟誰呢？他結盟日本，結盟澳大利亞，然後以台灣搞台獨的蔡英文作馬仔，作馬前卒，然後對中國大陸進行遏制，使中國大陸在崛起的過程裡面，發生了許許多多的阻礙，然後用大量的金錢去收買在大陸境內所謂的恨國黨，所謂的精美分子，讓他們在大陸的內部製造一些反動的言論，製造一些騷亂，看看能不能再挑動顏色革命。這些居心，其實從拜登在搞的新疆棉事件，在搞的香港的黑暴事件，以及支持台灣的台獨集團所搞的兩岸對抗，都明顯的可以看出來。

As for the parts in the Asia-Pacific or Indo-Pacific, his method is exactly the same, and it is also a vertical and horizontal technique. Who is he allied with? He allied with Japan and Australia, and then used Taiwan’s Tsai Ing-wen, who was engaged in Taiwan independence, as a pawn and pawn, and then contained mainland China, which caused many obstacles in the process of the rise of mainland China, and then used a lot of money is used to buy the so-called Hate Party and the so-called exquisite elements in the mainland, let them make some reactionary speeches and create some riots within the mainland, and see if they can provoke the color revolution. These intentions can actually be clearly seen from the Xinjiang cotton incident that Biden is engaging in, the black violence incident in Hong Kong, and the cross-strait confrontation carried out by the Taiwan independence group that supports Taiwan.

我常講嘛，老鳥玩不出新把戲，所以拜登用來對付俄羅斯的，用來對付中國的，其實他的方法大同小異，我今天不談俄羅斯，我只談印太的中美兩岸，我們把我們的焦點回到了印太。其實美國本來要結盟的對象，不是只有日本跟澳大利亞，還有個印度。印度可是全世界人口第二多的大國了，他的人口13.6億，僅次於中國的人口，而印度這個國家也被視為是未來經濟發展很有潛力的國家；而中印，長期以來有邊境的衝突，有宿怨，所以拜登本來是要拉攏印度來作為盟友的。可是啊，去年的印度經濟大幅衰退，他的經濟成長率跌到了將近負的10%。那今年更糟啦，從3月以後，印度的新冠肺炎的疫情就猛爆啦，到我綠影的前一天，每日的確診數已經超過35萬，每天死亡的人數破兩千，印度現在叫哀鴻遍野，他的醫療設備根本不敷使用，而向美國，向歐洲求援，沒有人理他的，反倒是印度一直視為敵人的中國大陸，現在對印度施出了友誼的手，你不覺得很諷刺嗎？

I often say that veterans can’t play new tricks, so what Biden used to deal with Russia and what he used to deal with China is actually the same. I don’t talk about Russia today. I only talk about the Indo-Pacific cross-strait relations between China and the United States. Returned our focus to the Indo-Pacific. In fact, the United States originally intended to form an alliance with not only Japan and Australia but also India. India is the second-most populous country in the world. It has a population of 1.36 billion, second only to that of China. India is also regarded as a country with great potential for future economic development. China and India have had a long history of There are old grievances in the border conflicts, so Biden originally wanted to win over India as an ally. But ah, last year, Indias economy fell sharply, and its economic growth rate fell to nearly minus 10%. Then this year is even worse. Since March, the new crown pneumonia epidemic in India has exploded. The day before my Green Shadow, the number of diagnoses per day has exceeded 350,000, and the number of deaths per day has exceeded 2,000. India is now He is called Ai Hong everywhere. His medical equipment is not enough to use. He asks for help from the United States and Europe. No one cares about him. On the contrary, it is mainland China, which India has always regarded as an enemy. Now it is showing friendship to India. Don’t you think Is it ironic?

所以美國現在若要用印度來遏制中國大陸，恐怕已經做不了啦，而且他已經把印度視為燙手的山芋，避之唯恐不及。所以美國現在要拉攏的盟友在印太，就剩下日本跟澳大利亞，而澳大利亞經濟高度依賴中國，澳大利亞的軍事實力又很弱，所以澳大利亞雖然在反華的一個動作上面很積極，好像是美國的鐵桿，很聽話的，但是事實上他沒實力啊，他就打打嘴炮啊，他能夠在中美的博弈中發揮什麼功能呢？所以真正能幫到拜登的，能夠幫助拜登來給中國施加壓力的，數來數去只有一個國家，就是日本。日本就他的經濟，就他的軍事，他是有一定實力的。日本對中國一直不服氣，有宿怨，日本對台灣一直有野心，日本對於南海台海到東海，他有海上運輸生命線的需求；日本也一直想把台灣作為他南進的跳板，所以日本是有動機跟著美國一起遏制中國大陸的。這也就是美日現在結盟的動作非常的積極。

Therefore, if the United States wants to use India to contain mainland China, I am afraid that it will no longer be able to do so, and he has already regarded India as a hot potato. Therefore, the allies that the United States wants to win over are in the Indo-Pacific, and only Japan and Australia remain. Australia’s economy is highly dependent on China, and Australia’s military strength is very weak. Therefore, although Australia is very active in an anti-China action, it seems to be an American iron. , Very obedient, but in fact, he has no strength, so he just talks. What function can he play in the Sino-US game? Therefore, there is only one country that can really help Biden and can help Biden put pressure on China, and that is Japan. Japan has a certain strength in terms of its economy and its military. Japan has always been dissatisfied with China and has long-standing grudges. Japan has always had ambitions against Taiwan. Japan has a lifeline for maritime transportation from the South China Sea to the East China Sea. Japan has always wanted to use Taiwan as a springboard for its southward advance, so Japan has the motive. Follow the United States to contain mainland China. This means that the United States and Japan are now very active in forming an alliance.

可是你拜登是個老狐狸，日本的首相菅義偉也是個老狐狸，老狐狸對上老狐狸，那叫做同床異夢，各懷鬼胎。拜登想要在印太在亞太搞代理人戰爭，最好美軍不出面，美軍就在外圍提供後勤支援，搖旗吶喊，而讓日本打前線，做美軍的代理人，與中國大陸發生衝突，美軍來擷取漁翁之利。可是菅義偉這麼傻嗎？當然不是，所以菅義偉跟拜登在美國的華府進行所謂的拜菅會以後，日本發表聲明啦！日本說他支持台灣，也支持美國，但是不包含軍事行動，不包含軍事介入，講得夠白了吧！所以美國白宮的官員說，這個菅義偉啊，真是個大滑頭，比以前的安倍還要滑頭。果然如此嘛！

But you, Biden, is an old fox, and Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga is also an old fox. If an old fox meets an old fox, it is called the same bed with different dreams. Biden wants to engage in a proxy war in the Indo-Pacific in Asia-Pacific. It is best if the US military does not come forward. The US military will provide logistical support on the periphery, wave the flag, and let Japan play the front line and act as an agent of the US military. There will be a conflict with mainland China and the US military will come. Take advantage of the fisherman. But is Yoshihide Suga so stupid? Of course not, so after Yoshihide Suga and Biden held the so-called meeting in Washington, DC, Japan issued a statement! Japan said that it supports Taiwan and the United States, but it does not include military operations or military intervention. It is plain enough! Therefore, the White House official said, Yoshihide Suga is really a slippery head, even slippery than Abe before. Sure enough!

所以整個印太地區，亞太地區，拜登當然想對中國進行圍堵，但是印度不能用了，澳大利亞沒實力，日本各懷鬼胎，也只想利用美國，放寬他軍事上的管制，讓他能夠擴軍。另外呢，他想要把福島核災的核廢水倒進大海，也要美國來背書啊！也要美國來支持啊！也要美國來力挺啊！反正啊，日本是有他自己的想法的，大和民族，以姦著名嘛！所以美國要從日本這邊討到便宜，不是那麼容易的事情。

Therefore, in the entire Indo-Pacific region and the Asia-Pacific region, Biden certainly wants to contain China, but India can’t use it anymore, Australia has no strength, and Japan has its own ghosts, and only wants to use the United States to relax his military controls so that he can Expand the army. In addition, he wants to dump the nuclear wastewater from the Fukushima nuclear disaster into the sea, and he wants the United States to endorse it! The U.S. must also support it! The U.S. must also support it! Anyway, Japan has its own ideas. The Yamato people are famous for their traitors! Therefore, it is not so easy for the United States to seek a bargain from Japan.

好，那現在問題來了，美國不想直接與中國大陸就這樣撕破臉，甚至在台海或者南海發生了中美大戰，因為中美大戰，美國不管勝與敗，他要付出的代價太大啦！而付出這些代價，是現今的美國，日薄西山的美國，綜合國力下跌的美國，所沒有辦法承受的。所以美國不會在這個階段跟中國撕破臉的，他只希望給中國一些威嚇，讓你中國聽話，服膺美國這個老大，承認美國這個霸主。

Okay, now the problem is here. The United States does not want to rip apart directly from mainland China, and even a Sino-US war broke out in the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea. Because of the Sino-US war, regardless of whether the United States wins or loses, the price he has to pay is too great! And paying these prices is something that the current United States, the declining United States, and the United States whose overall national strength is declining cannot bear. Therefore, the United States will not break its face with China at this stage. He only hopes to give China some intimidation to make China obedient, subjugate the boss of the United States, and recognize the hegemony of the United States.

而基本上，被拜登視為馬仔的，馬前卒的，那就是台灣的蔡英文了。蔡英文的處境好不好？好有一比嘛，如果跟烏克蘭的則連斯基比起來，蔡英文的處境比則連斯基好不到哪裡去。則連斯基也可憐啊！夾在俄羅斯，夾在美國跟歐盟的中間，也像個夾心餅乾啊！而烏克蘭的國內對則連斯基也有很多的怨言，同樣的情況在台灣，蔡英文現在也像豬八戒照鏡子，里外不是人啊！她想走台獨的路線，她想達到台獨的目標，可是她必須靠美國的力量、靠日本的力量，可是美國跟日本就想從台灣得到東西，想利用台灣，打台灣牌，來跟中國大陸討價還價，所以蔡英文就成為了馬前卒，就成為了棋子，就成為了犧牲品。

Basically, what Biden regards as a pawn and a pawn is Taiwan’s Tsai Ing-wen. Is Tsai Ing-wens situation good? Fortunately, compared with Zelensky in Ukraine, Tsai Ing-wens situation is not much better than Zelenskyss. Zelensky is also pitiful! Caught in Russia, between the United States and the European Union, it is also like a sandwich biscuit! In Ukraine, there are also many complaints against Zelensky. The same situation is in Taiwan. Tsai Ing-wen is now looking in the mirror-like Zhu Bajie (pig. A well-known character in a traditional Chinese classic novel is a pig transformed into a human figure, still with a pig head, protecting the Tang monk to take Buddhist scriptures in the west. His name is Zhu Bajie.), who is not human inside and out! She wants to take the route of Taiwan independence, she wants to achieve the goal of Taiwan independence, but she must rely on the strength of the United States and Japan, but the United States and Japan want to get things from Taiwan, want to use Taiwan, play Taiwanese cards, and come to China. Bargaining, so Tsai Ing-wen became a pawn, a chess piece, and a victim.

所以美國講得很明白嘛！你蔡英文跟大陸對抗，美國祇能夠幫助台灣增加自我防衛的力量，至於出兵，幫台灣打仗，美國沒有明說，但是從美國種種的跡象來看，美國為台灣出兵打仗的可能性是非常低的。那如果美國不出兵，日本在觀望，那蔡英文就要讓台軍去對抗戰狼式的解放軍喔！你認為台灣能撐多久呢？大陸的73集團軍，在閩南做了斬首行動的實兵演練，如果大陸真的採取突襲式，特種部隊的斬首行動，兩岸問題的解決，那就是一天內嘛！那如果採取點穴戰，閃電戰的方式，解決台灣的問題大概就是幾天嘛！如果大陸布個口袋陣，對台灣執行封鎖，執行圍堵，然後把包圍圈縮小，把口袋收緊，甚至拿下東沙、澎湖等等的離島，那也只不過是一周到十天的光景嘛！所以沒有了美國的支持，台軍能夠撐多久呢？

So the United States is very clear! When Tsai Ing-wen is confronting the mainland, the United States can only help Taiwan increase its self-defense. As for sending troops to fight Taiwan, the United States has not stated clearly, but judging from the various signs of the United States, the possibility of the United States sending troops to Taiwan is very low. . If the United States does not send troops and Japan is waiting and watching, then Tsai Ing-wen will let the Taiwan military fight against the wolf-like Peoples Liberation Army! How long do you think Taiwan can last? The 73rd Group Army of the mainland conducted a decapitation exercise in southern Fujian. If the mainland really adopts a surprise attack, special forces decapitation operations, and the settlement of cross-strait issues, it will be within one day! Then if a point-pointing war or a blitzkrieg is adopted, it will take only a few days to solve the Taiwan problem! If the mainland builds a pocket array, blockades Taiwan, implements containment, and then shrinks the encirclement, tightens the pockets, and even takes down the outlying islands of Dongsha, Penghu, etc., it will only be a week to ten days! So without the support of the United States, how long can the Taiwan military last?

仔細的客觀的算一算，答案就得到了。蔡英文身為台灣地區的領導人，她擁有的信息最多，她會不知道嗎？她當然知道。因為知道，所以就像是達摩克里斯劍懸在頭頂上，她憂心的，是什麼時候達摩克里斯劍要掉下來嘛！所以她焦不焦慮？她當然焦慮啊！你仔細的看，蔡英文跟我同年，白頭髮越來越多啦！神情也越來越憔悴啦！跟六年前剛上台擔任領導人的樣子，已經天差地遠啦！她心中的焦慮可想而見啊！她旁邊的人呢？尤其負責保衛她的反斬首行動小組，這個加強連隊，基本上壓力也非常大啊！而目前大陸的解放軍的戰機頻頻的繞島，由西南空域到東南空域，給台灣製造了很大的壓力。

Calculate carefully and objectively, and you will get the answer. As the leader of Taiwan, Tsai Ing-wen has the most information. Would she not know? Of course, she knew. Because she knew it, it was like the Damocles sword hanging above her head. She was worried, when did the Damocles sword fall? So is she anxious? Of course, she is anxious! Look carefully, Tsai Ing-wen is the same year as me, with more and more white hair! The look is getting more and more haggard! Its a far cry from the way he first came to power as a leader six years ago! The anxiety in her heart can be imagined! Where is the person next to her? Especially the anti-decapitation team responsible for defending her, this strengthened company is basically under great pressure! At present, the PLA fighter planes on the mainland frequently circle the island from the southwest airspace to the southeast airspace, creating a lot of pressure on Taiwan.

台灣的空軍的飛行員、飛行教官，這時候壓力大得不得了，厭戰情緒高得不得了，如果兩岸真的發生戰爭，恐怕大戰還沒開始，就爆發了投降潮，這就是我曾經說過的，武統開始，和統結束，武統的號角一吹，投降潮就發生，這就是以武促統的其中最關鍵的成分。就這一點來講，台灣每一個人民的心中都是雪亮的。很多人檯面上不敢說，私底下就說，如果大陸真要打，那就談吧！那就投降吧！這才是現在島內人民的真正的心聲。

The pilots and flight instructors of the Taiwan Air Force are under extreme pressure at this time, and their war-weariness is extremely high. If there is a war between the two sides of the strait, I am afraid that there will be a wave of surrender before the war begins. This is what I once said. When the military reunification begins, and the peaceful reunification ends, as soon as the horn of the military reunification is blown, the tide of surrender will occur. This is the most critical element in the promotion of reunification by the military. In this regard, the hearts of every people in Taiwan are discerning. Many people dare not say on the stage, but in private, if the mainland really wants to fight, then talk about it! Then surrender! This is the true voice of the people on the island now.

《謙秋論》賴岳謙第兩百零五集｜賣力抗中討美喜歡的日本！身体却很誠實！｜《谦秋论》赖岳谦第兩百零五集｜卖力抗中讨美喜欢的日本！身体却很诚实！｜

"Qian Qiu Lun" Lai Yueqian Episode 205 | Working Hard Against China

,please Americas Japan! The body is very honest! ｜

May 2, 2021

日本他們在召開內閣會議，他的外相叫做茂木敏充，提出了日本的外交藍皮書，這是2021年的外交藍皮書，藍皮書的功能在哪裡呢？藍皮書的功能就是向日本的國民來介紹日本當前的處境，也就是日本政府對於當前日本的處境，他的一個認知，他的一個看法，接著呢，他就會提出他的對策，他未來要走的路，來向日本的國民做一個報告，爭取日本國民的支持。最後當他們制定出成為一個政策以後，就會從藍皮書裡面來表現出來。所以每年一度的時候他們都會討論，都會有藍皮書。

They are holding a cabinet meeting in Japan. His foreign minister is named Motegi Toshimitsu and he proposed Japans Blue Book on Diplomacy. This is the Blue Book on Diplomacy in 2021. What is the function of the Blue Book? The function of the blue book is to introduce the current situation of Japan to the Japanese citizens, that is, the Japanese governments understanding of the current situation in Japan, one of his perceptions, one of his views, and then he will propose his countermeasures. The way to go is to make a report to the Japanese people and win the support of the Japanese people. Finally, when they have worked out a policy, it will be reflected in the blue book. So they will discuss it once a year, and there will be a blue book.

那在這次的外交的藍皮書裡面是當然一定是在內閣的會議中來討論，不過在這一次討論中，322頁裡面有二百七十多次就談到了中國大陸，那用兩百七十多次這麼大的頻率，一直不斷的出現中國中國中國，這樣的一個頻率中，當然就會讓日本的國民都覺得說，以目前日本的自民黨政府，他跟中國大陸的關係是處在一個比較不友好的一個情況下，所以是雙方是比較緊張的。當然他有談到韓國的問題，也是不友好的，所以韓國政府也在第一時間就表達抗議，嚴重關切，那中國大陸也是表達了嚴重抗議，表達嚴重關切，那麼要日本對這個事情要說清楚，講明白。

Of course, in this diplomatic blue book, it must be discussed in a cabinet meeting. However, in this discussion, on page 322, there are more than 270 talks about mainland China, and that’s 270. With such a large frequency, China, China, and China have been constantly appearing in such a frequency. Of course, Japanese citizens will feel that with the current Japanese Liberal Democratic Party government, his relationship with mainland China is in comparison. An unfriendly situation, so both parties are more nervous. Of course, he talked about South Korea’s problems, and it was not friendly, so the South Korean government also expressed protests and serious concerns at the first time. Then mainland China also expressed serious protests and expressed serious concerns. Then Japan must say about this matter. Be clear, make it clear.

主要的就是因為在日本的評估裡面，他認為中國大陸是對日本來講是一個很大的威脅，而他有提出一個“四個首次”，哇，這個引起大家的注意，為什麼呢？因為他首次他就評估了，他說，日本現在很關切中國在東海、南海的所有的活動。這樣的一個情形等於是，你日本直接介入到了中國的領域了，這樣的一個情形當然會引起大陸的強烈的不滿。那第二個他就談到了日本關切新疆的問題跟香港的問題，那新疆跟香港對於中國大陸來講這是內政的問題，你外國政府怎麼可以乾涉我的內政，當然也會有強烈的不滿。那第三個他就談到了釣魚台的問題，釣魚台是屬於我們的，這是一個歷史，也是一個事實，這個是不容分辯的，但是日本政府一直在強調釣魚台是屬於他們的，所以彼此之間是有爭議。

The main reason is that in Japans assessment, he believes that mainland China is a great threat to Japan, and he has proposed a "four first", wow, this has attracted everyones attention, why? Because he evaluated it for the first time, he said that Japan is now very concerned about all China activities in the East China Sea and the South China Sea. Such a situation is equivalent to that Japan has directly intervened in the field of China. Of course, such a situation will cause strong dissatisfaction on the mainland. In the second one, he talked about Japan’s concern about Xinjiang’s issues and Hong Kong’s issues. Xinjiang and Hong Kong are issues of internal affairs for mainland China. How can your foreign government interfere in my internal affairs? Of course, there will be strong dissatisfaction. . In the third one, he talked about the issue of Diaoyutai. Diaoyutai belongs to us. This is a history and a fact. This is indisputable. However, the Japanese government has been emphasizing that Diaoyutai belongs to them, so they are mutually exclusive. Controversial.

那在領土主權方面有爭議的時候，一般來講就會擱置爭議，因為這樣的話，先目前沒有辦法解決嘛，但是在這一次日本政府首次的在他的外交的藍皮書裡面，就談到釣魚台的問題。台灣也應該表達意見，因為釣魚台是屬於我們宜蘭縣頭城鎮的，我們有郵遞區號欸！而且我們過去幾百年來，我們的漁民就在這個地方捕魚，而且它本來就是我們的傳統漁場，這個歷史文件寫得很明白。但是現在台灣民進黨政府不吭一聲，對於日本這樣做法，台灣不吭一聲，我們當然會覺得遺憾，我們也會覺得不滿，因為釣魚台確實是屬於我們的。

When there is a dispute over territorial sovereignty, generally speaking, the dispute will be put on hold, because in this case, there is currently no way to resolve it. However, this time the Japanese government first mentioned Diaoyutai’s issues in its diplomatic blue book. problem. Taiwan should also express its opinions because Diaoyutai belongs to our head town in Yilan County, and we have a postal code! Moreover, our fishermen have been fishing in this place for hundreds of years, and it was originally our traditional fishing ground. This historical document is very clear. But now Taiwan’s Democratic Progressive Party government does not say a word. Taiwan does not say a word about Japan’s law. Of course, we will regret it, and we will also feel dissatisfied because Diaoyutai really belongs to us.

好，但不管如何，我們看到日本這次談到這個部分呢，台灣沒有意見，沒有表達聲音的情形下，大陸當然表達相當的憤怒。那最後一個，日本就談到了一個更不友善的動作，他說他要聯合美國，要跟美國形成緊密的一個盟友關係，要遏制中國大陸的發展。外交藍皮書這麼明白的，就直接點名、指責、或者是認為中國是日本最大的威脅。這樣的一個情形下的話，事實上就是在告訴中國大陸說，你也可以把我當成你的最大威脅嘍。但是問題就在於日本跟韓國，跟台灣，跟大陸都是鄰居，鄰居他是搬不走的，因為他是就在那個地方。其實我們都希望大家能夠和平相處，大家能夠至少友愛嘛！那麼至少彼此之間互相來往，然後不要把對方視為敵人，我覺得這是一個最起碼應該做到的。可是這次看起來，日本不是這樣，所以韓國表達憤怒，大陸也不斷憤怒，而民進黨的政府沒有表達意見。

Okay, but no matter what, we saw that Japan talked about this part this time, and Taiwan had no opinion and did not express its voice. Of course, the mainland expressed considerable anger. In the last one, Japan talked about an even more unfriendly move. He said that he wanted to unite with the United States, to form a close ally with the United States, and to contain the development of mainland China. The Blue Book of Diplomacy is so clear that it directly names, accuses, or thinks that China is Japans biggest threat. In such a situation, you are actually telling mainland China that you can also regard me as your greatest threat. But the problem is that Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and the mainland are all neighbors. He cant move his neighbor because he is in that place. In fact, we all hope that everyone can get along with each other in peace, and everyone can be at least friendly! Then at least interact with each other, and then dont treat each other as enemies. I think this is the least that should be done. But this time it seems that this is not the case in Japan, so South Korea has expressed anger, and the mainland has also been angry, while the DPP government has not expressed opinions.

我們再回來講，我們為什麼會說日本在這個時候為什麼會這樣做呢？因為日本他要向美國表達他很努力的他要配合美國抑制中國發展的這樣的一個態度跟決心，所以透過藍皮書裡面來表現出來。因為拜登一直希望日本扮演更重要的一個角色，尤其是美國的國會最近通過的抗中法案，也要求日本要扮演更重要的角色，特別要求日本要發展遠程的、精準式的彈道導彈飛彈，來攻擊中國大陸的重要的軍事要塞或是戰略的位置。這樣的一種態度對於大陸來講的話，他就會去思考，如果日本要發展這樣的一種遠程的打擊能力，就必須會修改日本的憲法，那是日本的非戰憲法，也就是二次世界大戰結束以後，日本是一個侵略國也是一個戰敗國，所以他的憲法明訂日本不再發動戰爭，不再主動對外攻擊，所以他的武器裝備不發展攻擊性的武器裝備，這是寫在日本憲法裡面。

Lets come back to talk about it again, why do we say that why did Japan do this at this time? Because Japan wants to express to the U.S. that he has worked hard, he has to cooperate with the U.S. attitude and determination to restrain Chinas development, so he will show it through the blue book. Because Biden has always hoped that Japan will play a more important role, especially the Anti-China Act recently passed by the US Congress, which also requires Japan to play a more important role, and specifically requires Japan to develop long-range and precise ballistic missiles. To attack important military fortresses or strategic locations in mainland China. Such an attitude is for the mainland, he will think about it, if Japan wants to develop such a long-range strike capability, it must amend Japan’s constitution, which is Japan’s non-war constitution, that is, the second time. After the end of the world war, Japan was an aggressor and a defeated country. Therefore, his constitution clearly stipulated that Japan would no longer launch wars and would no longer take the initiative to attack externally. Therefore, his weapons and equipment would not develop offensive weapons and equipment. This is written in Inside the Japanese Constitution.

但是當日本如果要改變了，要開始發展這種遠程的精準式的導彈，日本有能力喔，因為日本在科技方面，在火箭導彈這個部分裡面，他們的發展的技術是很成熟的，他有能力做到。可是當日本如果這樣做的時候，就會使韓國也好，俄國也好，或是中國大陸，他們本身對日本就保持了一個高度的警戒。當他們保持高度警戒以後，他們的這些武器裝備就開始有可能瞄準日本的重要的一些軍事基地跟重要的戰略基地。戰略基地是屬於哪裡呢？我們叫做東京的經濟板塊，也就是從東京一直連結到京都的這個龐大的經濟板塊，也是日本人口密集密度最高的地方，可能就構成戰略核彈的打擊範圍。這個對日本來講其實不是好消息。

But when Japan wants to change and start to develop this kind of long-range precision missiles, Japan has the ability, because Japan has a very mature technology in terms of technology and rocket missiles. Ability to do it. But if Japan does this, it will make South Korea, Russia, or mainland China, themselves maintain a high level of vigilance against Japan. After they maintain a high level of alert, their weapons and equipment may begin to target some important military bases and important strategic bases in Japan. Where does the strategic base belong? What we call the economic sector of Tokyo is the huge economic sector that connects Tokyo to Kyoto. It is also the most densely populated place in Japan, and it may constitute the scope of a strategic nuclear bomb. This is actually not good news for Japan.

所以日本國民對於日本的政府這樣的一個公佈，他們是有憂慮的。在前幾天，就是日本的內閣會議要通過這個外交藍皮書之前，日本有三場的國會議員的改選，那這三場的國會議員的改選，菅義偉所領導的自民黨政府全部都挫敗，連選三場，連敗三場，這個對於九月的時候日本政府要國會要改選，就處於一個非常不利的地位了。也就是說，日本的自民黨政府，目前日本的選民對他產生了一個不信任的這樣的一種態度，而這種態度一直走下去的話，對菅義偉想要連任自民黨的總裁，這條路就更加的崎嶇難行了。因為菅義偉目前的支持度從他剛剛當日本的首相，百分之七十的支持度，現在跌到百分之三十，所以這個對菅義偉來講，不是一個好消息。更何況這次自民黨議員的整個挫敗，那等於他在九月或者是明年，他解散國會重新改選，對於日本的現在的自民黨都不是一件好消息。

Therefore, Japanese nationals are worried about such an announcement by the Japanese government. A few days ago, before Japan’s cabinet meeting passed the diplomatic blue paper, Japan had three re-elections of members of the National Assembly. In those three re-elections of members of the National Assembly, the Liberal Democratic Party government led by Yoshihide Suga was defeated and re-elected. Three games, three games in a row, this is in a very disadvantageous position when the Japanese government wants the Diet to re-elect in September. In other words, the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party government currently has an attitude of distrust among Japanese voters, and if this attitude continues, Yoshihide Suga wants to be re-elected as the president of the Liberal Democratic Party. Its even more rugged. Because Yoshihide Suga’s current support rate has fallen from 70% when he was the prime minister of Japan to 30% now, so this is not good news for Yoshihide Suga. Whats more, the entire setback of the Liberal Democratic Party congressman this time means that he will dissolve the parliament and re-elect in September or next year. This is not good news for the current Liberal Democratic Party in Japan.

所以我們就看到，當日本的目前的政府緊靠著美國的時候，會拉動旁邊的國家的關係，我們就看到日本政府的另外一手策略就出來了，也就是說日本的兩面性常常在很多地方會表現無疑。怎麼說另外一手策略呢？這一手策略就是剛剛通過外交藍皮書，接著日本的國會就批准了RCEP。美國是對於中國大陸所主導推動的這個RCEP是很不滿的，因為RCEP它佔了全世界的GDP百分之三十欸，三成欸，而且它的人口數是二十二億，而這個三成二十二億人口的這麼龐大的市場，這麼龐大的市場，各位你想想看，它會讓整個太平洋地區的這十個國家，再加上五個，也就是東盟十國國家加澳大利亞、紐西蘭、大陸，還有就是日本、韓國，這樣加起來的話，而美國是在外面的。他們的關稅未來要趨近於零，然後智慧財產權要得到充分的保障，要達到統一的規則；這樣的一個方式，美國是在外面的，是在圈外的，這個對美國是不利的，所以美國是反對的，不贊成的。

Therefore, we have seen that when Japan’s current government is close to the United States, it will stimulate the relations of the neighboring countries. We have seen the Japanese government’s other tactics come out, that is to say, Japan’s duality is often in many ways. The place will show no doubt. How about another strategy? This strategy was just passed the Diplomatic Blue Book, and then the Japanese Diet approved RCEP. The United States is very dissatisfied with the RCEP promoted by mainland China because RCEP accounts for 30% of the world’s GDP, 30%, and its population is 2.2 billion, and this 32% With a population of 1.2 billion, such a huge market, such a huge market, think about it, everyone, it will bring these ten countries in the entire Pacific region, plus five, that is, the ten ASEAN countries plus Australia and New Zealand. Orchid, the mainland, and Japan, and South Korea, if combined, the United States is outside. Their tariffs will approach zero in the future, and then intellectual property rights must be fully protected, and unified rules must be achieved; in this way, the United States is outside and outside the circle. This is not good for the United States, so The United States opposes and disapproves.

而日本在這個時候卻悖逆了美國的意思加進去，因為日本的身體很誠實，怎麼說他的身體很成誠實？他告訴大家說，日本還是最在乎的是經濟，因為經濟它牽涉到就是錢的問題。日本政府自己都說了，通過批准RCEP，可以讓日本的經濟成長了百分之二點七，創造新的五十七萬個就業機會，而且日本的百分之九十二的產品在未來都會關稅會趨近於零，更何況呀，太平洋這些地區的國家，對於日本的農產品跟漁牧的產品影響不大，所以日本最擔心的是美國的農林漁牧產品進入日本。好，那你想想看，當日本的這個兩手策略這樣做以後，你認為會發生什麼事情？

At this time, Japan rebelled against what the United States meant and added, because Japans body is very honest. How can I say that his body is very honest? He told everyone that Japan still cares most about the economy because the economy involves money. The Japanese government has said that by approving RCEP, Japan’s economy can grow by 2.7%, creating 570,000 new jobs, and 92% of Japan’s products will be in the future. Tariffs will approach zero. Whats more, countries in the Pacific have little impact on Japanese agricultural products and fishery and animal husbandry products. Therefore, Japan is most worried about the entry of American agricultural, forestry, fishery, and animal husbandry products into Japan. Okay, then think about it. What do you think will happen when Japans two-handed strategy does this?

很簡單的跟各位講，我們用很簡單的方式：第一個，韓國會表達相當的不滿，所以看起來美國要把韓國跟日本拉攏，日本要付出更多的代價，為什麼呢？因為韓國很清楚的知道，中國大陸對於日本的這個外交藍皮書表達強烈不滿的時候，那東盟的很多國家，他是不願意選邊站的，所以他們會跟日本保持相當的距離，那保持相當的距離，日本在東盟的國家，他會顯得更加孤立，那在另外的兩個呢？也就是澳大利亞跟紐西蘭，日本唯一能拉的就是澳大利亞，所以在亞太的地區裡面，日本唯一能拉的就是澳大利亞跟印度，可是印度現在因為疫情的關係自身難保，在這樣的一個情形下，對於韓國來講的話，韓國當然就有更大的一個條件跟籌碼，要求美國逼著日本對韓國做出更多的讓步，所以日本在韓國這部分將會得不償失。

To tell you very simply, we use a very simple way: First, South Korea will express considerable dissatisfaction, so it seems that the United States is going to draw South Korea and Japan together, and Japan will have to pay more. Why? Because South Korea knows very well that when mainland China expresses strong dissatisfaction with Japan’s diplomatic blue book, many countries in ASEAN are unwilling to choose sides, so they will keep a considerable distance from Japan. Distance, Japan is in the ASEAN countries, he will appear to be more isolated, what about the other two? That is Australia and New Zealand. The only thing Japan can pull is Australia, so in the Asia-Pacific region, the only thing Japan can pull is Australia and India. However, India is now unable to protect itself due to the epidemic. Under such a situation, For South Korea, of course, South Korea has a bigger condition and bargaining chip, requiring the United States to force Japan to make more concessions to South Korea, so Japan will not be worth the loss in this part of South Korea.

在東盟這些國家裡面，會跟日本保持更遠的距離，那他只能拉攏一個小國，就是澳大利亞，而中國大陸相當有可能會在日本的周邊加強軍事的壓力，例如說遼寧號航母在二十八號要回程的時候，那麼穿過了這個宮古海峽，而且就走了宮古跟這個沖繩的這樣的一個海域，在這個時候遼寧號航母的直升機預警機就升空了，接近了釣魚島，在這個地方進行偵查，你就可以很清楚的看到，中國大陸未來很有可能會跟俄羅斯在日本的周邊裡面，加強軍事的承載跟壓力，甚至有更多的實彈的軍演都在日本周邊海域以及日本境內的這些國際的海峽，那麼進行穿越，我覺得日本這樣做的兩手策略，顯示出日本的性格的這種多面性，而且兩面性的情形會使日本左右為難而不會左右逢源。

In ASEAN countries, they will keep a greater distance from Japan, so they can only win over a small country, Australia, and mainland China is likely to increase military pressure around Japan. For example, the aircraft carrier Liaoning is in the 20th century. When the 8th was about to return, it passed through the Miyako Strait and left the sea area between Miyako and Okinawa. At this time, the helicopter early warning aircraft of the Liaoning aircraft carrier lifted off and approached the Diaoyu Islands. When conducting reconnaissance in this place, you can clearly see that in the future, mainland China is likely to be in the vicinity of Japan with Russia, strengthening the military load and pressure, and even more live-fire military exercises are in the waters surrounding Japan. As well as these international straits in Japan, I think Japan’s two-handed strategy in this way shows the multi-faceted nature of Japans character, and the two-faced situation will make Japan dilemma rather than both sides.

《謙秋論》賴岳謙第兩百零六集｜棄台論不時浮現！台灣從美國棋子到燙手山芋？｜《谦秋论》赖岳谦第兩百零六集｜弃台论不时浮现！台湾从美囯棋子到烫手山芋？｜

Abandoning Taiwan theory emerges from time to time! Taiwan from American chess pieces to hot potato?

May 4, 2021

每次台海兩岸的關係緊張，而且緊張到一個程度的時候，美國的國內都會有棄台論，這樣的一個聲音出現。它出現了會形成一個討論的焦點，等到兩岸關係緩和以後，棄台論的聲音又開始往下降，就這樣子周而復始，不斷的出現。可是在這一次的棄台論，引起大家比較高度的關注，最主要的原因就是因為整個的格局發生了很大的一個變化。這個格局發生了很大的變化，一方面是美國的衰落，二方面是中國大陸的快速的崛起。這樣的情形下，然後再加上台灣現在正是民進黨在當家的時候，跟美國掛鉤的情況非常的嚴重，而且推台獨的力道，還有它的步驟，還有它形成的結果，已經引起了非常多的化學變化。大陸的非常多的民眾網民，是主張要用更激烈的方法來解決台灣的問題。

Every time the relationship between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait is tense, and when the tension reaches a certain level, there will be the theory of abandoning Taiwan in the United States, and such a voice will appear. The emergence of it will form a focus of discussion. After cross-strait relations ease, the voice of abandoning Taiwan begins to decline, and it repeats itself again and again, and it keeps appearing. However, this time the theory of abandoning Taiwan has aroused peoples high degree of attention. The main reason is that a great change has taken place in the overall structure. Great changes have taken place in this pattern. On the one hand, the decline of the United States and the rapid rise of China on the other. Under such a situation, coupled with the fact that Taiwan is now at the time when the DPP was in charge, the situation of linking with the United States is very serious, and the strength of Taiwan independence, its steps, and the results of its formation have already caused A lot of chemical changes. A very large number of civilian netizens in the mainland advocate that more drastic methods should be used to solve the Taiwan problem.

所以我們看到整個局勢產生結構性的變化的時候，那麼這樣的一個棄台論的聲音就引起大家的關注，先客觀的跟大家分析一下目前的局勢。經濟學人雜誌算是一個比較嚴謹的一個雜誌，它的審核也好，它的文章也好，基本上來講是比較嚴肅，比較嚴謹的。所以它選出來的文章，發表出來的文章，通常是比較有這樣的一個力量。這個標題很醒目，而且整個雜誌的封面，就是以台灣有雷達狀的一個方式。台灣被整個軍事的雷達罩住，然後標題下的是：台灣是地球上最危險的地方。那換言之也就是說，他們的估計，台海之間發生戰爭的可能性是一直在升高。

So when we see structural changes in the overall situation, then such a voice of abandoning Taiwan will arouse everyones attention. First, we will objectively analyze the current situation with you. The Economist Magazine can be regarded as a more rigorous magazine. Whether it’s the review or its articles, it’s basically more serious and rigorous. Therefore, the articles it selects and the articles it publishes usually have such power. This title is very eye-catching, and the cover of the entire magazine is in a way that Taiwan has a radar. Taiwan is covered by the entire military radar, and then under the heading: Taiwan is the most dangerous place on earth. In other words, they estimate that the possibility of a war between the Taiwan Straits has been on the rise.

我們也注意到，乒乓外交最主要的推動者基辛格，基辛格在最近的一個演說裡面，他提到了目前來講，中美交戰的可能性是一直升高，而如果中美一旦交戰，發生了軍事衝突，這個對於全世界來講是一個毀滅性的，而且呢，它相當有可能會發生，而且會在很短的時間內改變整個人類的歷史。他最主要的論點是在於，他說中國不是前蘇聯，前蘇聯只是在軍事方面很強大，而不要忘了蘇聯的人口也不過就是美國的三分之一，雖然國土面積廣大，可是人口就是美國的三分之一，再加上他在民生經濟科技這個部分裡面，他在全世界的這種利益的交織中，他並不扮演重要的角色。

We have also noticed that Kissinger, the main promoter of ping-pong diplomacy. In a recent speech, Kissinger mentioned that at present, the possibility of Sino-U.S. engagement is always increasing, and if China and the U.S., There has been a military conflict, which is devastating for the whole world, and it is quite possible that it will happen, and it will change the entire history of mankind in a very short period of time. His main argument is that he said that China is not the former Soviet Union. The former Soviet Union is only very powerful in terms of military affairs. It should not be forgotten that the population of the Soviet Union is only one-third of that of the United States. Although the country is vast, the population in the United States. In addition, he is in the part of peoples livelihood, economy, and technology, and he does not play an important role in the interweaving of interests in the world.

所以美蘇的一個對抗，發展出冷戰時期，這個對美國人來講，他具有很大的優勢，可是今天中國大陸不是。中國大陸的人口數比美國多四倍多，也就是十四億人口面對三億多人口，這是一個很大的不同。第二個，中國大陸的國土面積比美國略大，但是中國大陸的經濟貿易網在全世界比美國還要活躍，更何況供應中國大陸的工業體係是完整的，美國卻是脆弱的，美國主要還是要靠服務業跟金融業，跟少部分的尖端的科技產業。所以整個發展的過程中，中國大陸的經濟、軍事、政治、科技力，是不遜於美國的。在這樣的一個情形，如果這兩大強國一旦爆發了衝突，這個對於整個世界來講是不可想像的。

Therefore, a confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union developed into the Cold War period. This has a great advantage for the Americans, but it is not in mainland China today. The population of mainland China is more than four times larger than that of the United States. That is, 1.4 billion people face more than 300 million people. This is a big difference. Second, the land area of Mainland China is slightly larger than that of the United States, but the economic and trade network of Mainland China is even more active in the world than in the United States. Whats more, the industrial system that supplies Mainland China is complete, but the United States is fragile. It still depends on the service industry and the financial industry, and a small number of cutting-edge technology industries. Therefore, during the entire development process, Chinas economic, military, political, and scientific, and technological capabilities are not inferior to those of the United States. In such a situation, if conflicts broke out between the two powers, this would be unthinkable for the entire world.

所以說你要注意管控風險，要注意管控危機。以目前你們的這樣的一個做法，從特朗普時代到拜登這樣的一個做法，會讓整個世界帶來危險。好，你想想看，在這樣一個發展的過程裡面，有一個最大的一個不可測的變數，就是台灣問題了！所以我們把經濟學人雜誌跟基辛格的東西連在一起的時候，你就可以知道，在美國棄台論又會出來了。因為棄台論的主張者，他認為說，台灣不是美國的核心利益，也不是美國的最大的利益，而美國卻會把自己的整個國家的安全，人民的生命財產的利益，卻放在一個不可測而且是最大變數的台灣的問題上。也就是因為台灣的問題使中美的關係也沒辦法健康的發展。

So you have to pay attention to managing and controlling risks, and you must pay attention to managing and controlling crises. With your current approach, from the Trump era to Biden, this approach will bring danger to the entire world. Well, think about it. In such a development process, there is one of the biggest unpredictable variables, which is the Taiwan issue! So when we link the Economist magazine with Kissingers staff, you will know that the abandonment of Taiwan in the United States will come out again. Because of the advocates of the Taiwan abandonment theory, he believes that Taiwan is not the core interest of the United States, nor is it the greatest interest of the United States, but the United States will put the security of its entire country and the interests of the people’s lives and property in one On the issue of Taiwan, which is unpredictable and the biggest variable. It is because of the problems in Taiwan that Sino-US relations cannot develop healthily.

好，我們來看一下過去的歷史。由於美國曾經大打台灣牌，而獲利匪淺，他荷包賺得滿滿的，不管是在於國際上，在政治上，在經濟上，在各方面，在全方位，他賺得荷包滿滿的，所以美國一直念念不忘這肥滋滋的利益。怎麼說呢？因為就在兩千零五年左右的時候，也就是在台灣的時候，是民進黨陳水扁當家的時代，在那個時代，我們看到中國大陸的整個，不管在經濟方面、軍事方面、政治方面，他的力量還是有限。雖然中國大陸有能力在軍事上打擊台灣的軍事的要塞，但是解放軍在兩千年到兩千零八年間，不具有空中海中的優勢，更不具有大規模的運兵的能力。所以我們看到在兩千零五年左右，當陳水扁一直在搞這個所謂的一邊一國的時候，美國就利用這個時間大打台灣牌。美國在大打台灣牌的情形下，就要求中國大陸付出非常慘痛的代價，不管在聯合國的安理會上不能夠動用否決權，否決美國的主張，所以牽制了中國大陸在聯合國的作用，這是很重要的國際政治的利益。第二個呢，就是必須要幫美國處理伊朗的問題跟朝鮮的問題。

Okay, lets take a look at the past history. Since the United States once played the Taiwan card and made a lot of profits, he made a lot of money, whether it is internationally, politically, economically, in all aspects, in all aspects, he made a lot of money. Yes, so the United States has always been obsessed with the benefits of this fatness. how to say? Because it was around 2005, that is, when I was in Taiwan, it was the era of the Democratic Progressive Party Chen Shui-bian. In that era, we saw the entire mainland of China, regardless of economic, military, or political aspects. His power is still limited. Although mainland China is capable of militarily attacking Taiwan’s military fortresses, the Peoples Liberation Army did not have the superiority in the air and the sea between 2000 and 2008, let alone the ability to transport troops on a large scale. So we see that when Chen Shui-bian had been engaged in this so-called one-sided one country in around 2005, the United States used this time to play Taiwans card. In the case of the United States playing the Taiwan card, it demanded that Mainland China pay a very painful price, regardless of whether the veto power could not be used on the UN Security Council to veto the United States’ claims, so it restricted the role of Mainland China in the United Nations. This is a very Important international political interest. The second one is that we must help the United States deal with the Iranian issue and the North Korean issue.

在朝鮮的問題上中國大陸付出了不知道多少的糧食跟原油，然後來幫美國穩住朝鮮的情況。另外呢，另外就是在經濟方面，向美國大量的購買一些物資，包括波音在內，所以你從這個角度來看，對美國人來講，只是講一個中國的原則，然後對於陳水扁說，你是用髒話罵他來遏制台獨在台灣的一個發展，就這樣子一個買空賣空的情形下，他大獲其利啊！所以美國人就念念不忘在這段時間內所獲得的巨大的利益。

On the issue of North Korea, mainland China has paid an unknown amount of grain and crude oil to help the United States stabilize the situation in North Korea. In addition, in terms of economics, a large number of materials are purchased from the United States, including Boeing. So from this perspective to the Americans, you are only talking about the one-China principle, and then to Chen Shui-bian, you are He used swear words to curb the development of Taiwan independence in Taiwan. In such a situation of short-sales and short-sales, he reaped a lot of profits! So Americans never forget the huge benefits they have gained during this period of time.

到了特朗普在兩千零一十八年，要對中國大陸發動這個貿易的攻擊的時候，你很清楚的看到，他又開始打台灣牌了，目的在哪裡？要逼得中國大陸讓步，可是今天的大陸已經不是兩千年、兩千零五年時代的大陸，所以大陸怎麼可能再讓你美國這樣的一個食髓知味，然後來買空賣空，大打台灣牌？絕對不可能的。因為大陸很清楚的知道，美國這個破口如果一旦形成，G Seven的國家就蜂擁而入，不管是日本、加拿大、德國、法國、英國等，這些國家就蜂擁而入，所以大陸一定要堅持的擋住美國的這個破口。在這樣的一個情形下，美國就一直加碼，鼓勵台灣的民進黨政府，不斷地推動台獨，就不斷的再加碼的情形下，我們看到兩岸的對立的情勢上升，中美的對立的情勢也一直在上升，這樣子一直走走走，走到今天的時候，拜登上來了，本來大家覺得說可以緩一口氣了，結果拜登變本加厲，再加籌碼。

When Trump was about to launch this trade attack on China in 2018, you clearly saw that he had started playing the Taiwan card again. What was the purpose? To force mainland China to make concessions, but todays mainland is no longer the mainland of the 2000s, 2005s, so how can the mainland let you be like the United States and then come to buy and sell short and play the Taiwan card? It is absolutely impossible. Because the mainland knows very well that if the US gap is formed, G Seven countries will swarm in, whether it is Japan, Canada, Germany, France, Britain, etc., these countries will swarm in, so the mainland must persist. Block this breach in the United States. Under such a situation, the United States has been increasing its weight, encouraging Taiwan’s DPP government to continuously promote Taiwan’s independence, and it continues to increase its weight. We have seen a rise in the antagonism between the two sides of the strait and the antagonism between China and the United States. It has been on the rise, and it has been walking around like this. Until today, Biden has come up. At first, everyone thought that they could take a sigh of relief. As a result, Biden has stepped up and increased his bargaining chip.

我們看到這個情況已經到了一個火山口，所以經濟學人雜誌認為危險了！美國的有識之士也認為危險了！但是美國的政客還在玩弄這樣的一個情形。現代的美國有關於台灣的問題變成一個燙手山芋了，也就是我們所謂的兩難命題，為什麼呢？因為中美如果一旦爆發衝突，台灣絕對是一個導火線，為什麼？因為台灣現在的情況，美國他採用的是模糊戰略，但是如果他改變模糊戰略，轉向這個清晰戰略，他就有兩個選擇。兩個選擇，第一個選擇就是承諾會支持台灣，也就是軍事會介入台灣。承諾軍事會介入台灣，他就必須要跟台灣建立一個軍事同盟關係，這樣的情形就走人了外交的承認問題，那這樣的話，等於中國大陸的關係，正常的外交就會產生很大的變化，完全脫鉤。你想想看，這個在美國的國內會引起多大的震撼，可行嗎？

We see that this situation has reached a volcanic crater, so the Economist magazine thinks it is dangerous! People of insight in the United States also think it is dangerous! But American politicians are still playing with such a situation. In the modern United States, the issue of Taiwan has become a hot potato, which is what we call a dilemma. Why? Because if the Sino-US conflict breaks out, Taiwan will definitely be the fuse. Why? Because of the current situation in Taiwan, the United States has adopted a vague strategy, but if he changes the vague strategy and shifts to this clear strategy, he has two choices. Two options, the first option is to promise to support Taiwan, that is, the military will intervene in Taiwan. If he promises that the military will intervene in Taiwan, he must establish a military alliance with Taiwan. In this case, the issue of diplomatic recognition will be eliminated. In this case, it is equivalent to the relationship between mainland China, and normal diplomacy will have great changes. , Completely decoupled. Think about it, how much shock this will cause in the United States, is it feasible?

當然會鼓動台獨，但是美國的國內的年輕人，他們會思考他要不要參戰，所以美國的內部裡面會產生混亂，美國的共和黨或是其他的反對黨，他說我要玩，要打台灣牌，也沒要你打到這個程度，更何況美國的企業界裡面，一看這個整個的情況不得了啊！所以他要戰略清晰，要支持台灣，要武力介入台灣，美國人做不到。那他如果提出第二個，那也就是說我不介入，台灣就崩盤了，股市崩盤、房市崩盤、有錢人跑光了，另外一個部分呢？美國的共和黨剛好藉這個機會，去猛打這個民主黨，所以他戰略清晰他做不到，那戰略清晰做不到，就回到戰略模糊，就現在這個政策。回到戰略模糊，可是對軍人來講，他們最難的地方是在於軍人的命令指導原則一定要清楚，一旦你模模糊糊，他就不知道該怎麼做，介入也好，還是不介入也好，萬一兩岸擦槍走火了，美國到底介入還是不介入？他的軍隊要做決定，他做不了決定，一旦有人草率的做決定捲入了，美國被捲入這個戰火的時候，整個戰爭擴大了。

Of course, they will encourage Taiwan independence, but the young people in the United States will think about whether he wants to participate in the war, so there will be confusion in the United States. The Republican Party or other opposition parties in the United States, he said I want to play, I want to play the Taiwan card. I didnt want you to hit this level. Whats more, in the American corporate world, the whole situation is incredible at a glance! Therefore, he must have a clear strategy, support Taiwan, and use force to intervene in Taiwan, which the Americans cannot do. Then if he proposes the second one, that means that if I don’t intervene, Taiwan will collapse, the stock market and the housing market will collapse, and the rich will run out. What about the other part? The Republican Party of the United States took this opportunity to slam the Democrats. So if he has a clear strategy, he cant do it. If he cant do it with a clear strategy, then he will return to the vague strategy, and just use this policy. Going back to the ambiguity of strategy, the most difficult part for soldiers is that their command and guiding principles must be clear. Once you are vague, they don’t know what to do, whether to intervene or not to intervene. In case the two sides of the strait wipe out guns and go into the fire, will the United States intervene or not? His army has to make decisions. He cant make decisions. Once someone makes a hasty decision and gets involved, when the United States is involved in this war, the entire war has expanded.

這個時候，周邊的國家，日本是不是也要被捲入？菲律賓是不是要被捲入？這些國家如果一看劃清界限了，美國一看沒有後勤支援，要撤出來的話，美國的顏面盡失，但是軍隊也可能受到損傷，而美國的國內的這樣的輿論風暴有可能再起，美國一塌糊塗。可是如果一直走下去的話，戰爭一直不斷地擴大，日本捲入了，周邊的國家也捲入了，如果戰火打到中國大陸的本土，中國大陸一定會報復性的打到美國的本土。你想想看這樣的一個不可收拾的後果，就如基辛格所言的，很有可能會發生。所以模糊戰略也不對，清晰戰略也不對，台灣變成一個中美關係中最大的變數。

At this time, will neighboring countries and Japan also be involved? Is the Philippines going to be involved? If these countries draw a clear line, and the United States does not have logistical support, if it wants to withdraw, the United States will lose its face, but the military may also be damaged, and such a storm of public opinion in the United States may rise again and the United States will be in a mess. But if we keep going, the war will continue to expand. Japan is involved, and neighboring countries are also involved. If the war hits mainland China, mainland China will surely retaliate against the United States. You think about such an unmanageable consequence, as Kissinger said, it is very likely to happen. Therefore, the fuzzy strategy is not correct, and the clear strategy is not correct. Taiwan has become one of the biggest variables in Sino-US relations.

你想想看，對於美國的現代的拜登政府該怎麼走？他根本沒有辦法走，所以他玩得比特朗普時代更糟，特朗普已經夠糟了，拜登玩得更糟，所以我們就可以看到，拜登現在他也不知道該怎麼做，所以你會看到他一直在說，我們沒有要戰爭，我們沒有要戰爭，但是你的所有的模糊戰略，沒有辦法給美國的軍人一個明確的指導。台灣變成美國的兩難命題，也成為中美最大衝突的不可測的這樣的一個變數。

Think about it, what should we do with the modern Biden administration in the United States? He has no way to go, so he played worse than in the Trump era, Trump has been bad enough, and Biden played worse, so we can see that Biden doesn’t know what to do now. So you will see that he kept saying that we did not want war, we did not want war, but all your vague strategies, there is no way to give American soldiers a clear guide. Taiwan has become a dilemma for the United States, and it has also become an unpredictable variable in the biggest conflict between China and the United States.

两岸摊牌！武统条件具备！解放军在台海释放三大武统信号！有人已经开始逼大陆出手！

Showdown on both sides of the strait! Martial unification conditions are met! The Peoples Liberation Army releases three major military reunification signals in the Taiwan Strait! Someone has begun to force the mainland to take action!

May 5, 2021

據媒體報導，台灣親綠學者顏建發聲稱，外國當前認為，台灣可能成為大陸最大的攻擊點，但台灣也可能是大陸最脆弱的一環，兩岸一旦開啟戰爭，首戰即決戰，首戰即世界大戰，因為當大陸把台灣攻占，那全世界的格局也都改變了，美日韓東盟都不願意看到這樣的局面。因此台灣目前看來風險很高，但其實還是很安全。顏建發認為，中國大陸一旦打台灣，亞太經濟圈毀於一旦，美國日本生意都不用做了，除非中國大陸經濟一直很好，科技沒被美國掐住脖子，才有把握攻台，他還稱，近來解放軍戰機大量來回台灣西南空域，充其量只是心理戰的範疇。

According to media reports, Taiwanese pro-green scholar Yan Jianfa claimed that foreign countries currently believe that Taiwan may become the mainland’s biggest attack point, but Taiwan may also be the most vulnerable part of the mainland. Once the two sides of the strait start a war, the first battle will be a decisive battle, and the first battle will be a world war. Because when the mainland conquered Taiwan, the structure of the world also changed. The United States, Japan, South Korea, and ASEAN were unwilling to see such a situation. Therefore, Taiwan seems to be very risky at the moment, but it is actually very safe. Yan Jianfa believes that once mainland China hits Taiwan and the Asia-Pacific economic circle is destroyed, there is no need to do business in the United States and Japan. Unless the economy of mainland China has been very good and technology has not been caught by the United States, then he can be confident of attacking Taiwan. He also said, Recently, a large number of PLA fighter planes have traveled back and forth in the airspace southwest of Taiwan, which is at best only a category of psychological warfare.

從台灣當局的一些動作，倒是可以看出，其並沒有把大陸的威懾放在心上，認為會有人阻止，同時台灣當局也從來沒有放棄過以武拒統的想法，大肆購買武器裝備的同時，軍演也是一場連著一場，而今親綠學者嚴建發的相關言論，看似荒唐，實則可能最接近台灣當局的看法，所以具有很強的參考性，尤其是在大陸對台戰略的製定上。台灣問題已持續多年，只有動真格他們才會當回真事。

From some actions of the Taiwan authorities, it can be seen that they did not take the mainland’s deterrence in mind, thinking that someone would stop them. At the same time, the Taiwan authorities have never given up the idea of using force to resist reunification. While buying weapons and equipment aggressively, The military exercises are also one after another. Today, the pro-green scholar Yan Jianfas relevant remarks seem absurd, but in fact, they may be the closest to the views of the Taiwan authorities, so they have a strong reference, especially in the formulation of the mainlands Taiwan strategy. . The Taiwan issue has been going on for many years, and they will take it seriously only if it is true.

客觀而言，從新中國成立至今，台灣就一直孤懸海外，如今已有72年之久，在這麼長的時間內，因為各種各樣的因素，大陸都未能成功收復台灣，那麼，台灣當局自然會把這視為常態，對於大陸的相關動作，也非常不以為然，總是認為抱著美國大腿就足夠安全，同時對於兩岸現狀，當大陸可能採取武力統一時，台灣當局的對策非常有限，沒有實質性意義，那麼倒不如得過且過，因此說再多、做再多已經沒有了太大意義，只有動真格的那一天，台灣當局才會把大陸當回事換言之，現在的台灣當局已經是死豬不怕開水燙了，在堅決拒斥統一的基礎上，繼續做自己的春秋大夢。

Objectively speaking, since the founding of New China, Taiwan has been lonely overseas. Now it has been 72 years. In such a long period of time, due to various factors, the mainland has not succeeded in regaining Taiwan. Then, Taiwan The authorities will naturally regard this as normal, and they are very disapproving of the relevant actions of the mainland. They always think that it is safe enough to hold the thigh of the United States. At the same time, regarding the current situation of the two sides of the strait, when the mainland may adopt force to reunify, the Taiwan authorities have very limited countermeasures. If there is no substantive meaning, then it is better to pass by. Therefore, no matter how much you say and do more, it doesn’t make much sense. Only on the day when the Taiwan authorities will take the mainland seriously. In other words, the Taiwan authorities are now dead pigs. I am not afraid that the boiling water will get hot, and on the basis of resolutely rejecting unification, I will continue to dream of my spring and autumn.

所謂的美日韓東盟不願接受，不過是台當局的自我安慰，台灣問題是中國內政，任何國家無權干涉，不得乾預。考慮到當前中國和東盟關係非常的好，都是朋友，那麼東盟是不會反對兩岸統一的，他們高興還來不及呢！而美國確實是一個較大的變量，但中國已經做好了準備，美國會否介入影響不大，而且五角大樓的軍事推演已經證明，在台灣問題上同中國開戰，美國會輸得很慘。日韓兩國作為美國的盟友，應該是不願意看到兩岸統一的，但他們既無干預的機會，更無干預的實力，因此不足為慮。

The so-called US, Japan, South Korea, and ASEAN reluctance is nothing but the self-comfort of the Taiwan authorities. The Taiwan issue is Chinas internal affairs, and no country has the right to interfere. Considering that the current relationship between China and ASEAN is very good and they are all friends, then ASEAN will not oppose cross-strait reunification. They are too happy to have time! The United States is indeed a relatively large variable, but China is well prepared. Whether the United States will intervene or not will have little impact, and the Pentagon’s military exercises have proved that the United States will lose miserably if it starts a war with China on the Taiwan issue. As allies of the United States, Japan, and South Korea should be reluctant to see cross-strait reunification, but they have neither the opportunity to intervene nor the strength to intervene, so they should not be worried.

台灣拉一群國家說事，無非是想讓他們勸架，但這不過是自我安慰，一旦大陸下定決心，誰也阻止不了。按照各種信息的匯總，兩岸統一就在眼前。美國方面的信息判斷認為，大陸會在未來的六年內出手，收復台灣。根據台灣一些學者的預測，2024年到2028年會是關鍵時間點；根據大陸的交通綱要，2035年就要把路修到台灣去，所以兩岸統一就在眼前，這不以任何人的意志為轉移。台灣方面必須放棄幻想，早日回到祖國懷抱中来，否則就由不得台灣胡鬧了，大陸將替他做决定。無論如何，台灣問題是不能再拖了，這一代人就必須解決，兩岸必須統一。無疑台灣對中國意義重大，是中華民族實現復興的偉大征程中，台灣是不能缺席的。大陸一旦決定武力收台，就没有任何的回頭路了。而台灣方面的一切如意算盤，也將統統失效。所謂的美日韓東盟，起不了任何實質性的作用。中國的内政，自然只需要中國自己來解決。因此，親綠學者的自我意淫，可以休矣！两岸統一就在眼前，台灣已經極不安全了，再一意孤行，必將自我毀滅，戰爭對海峽兩岸不是好事，影響兩岸民眾福祉，“成也百姓苦，敗也百姓苦”，一點不假。大陸不希望發動台海戰爭，大陸拿出最大誠意，讓台灣和平回歸，實施一國兩制，也符合台灣利益，不用交税，自己賺錢自己吃，選舉、管理和現在的制度一樣，台灣還可以是當保持軍隊，只要對大陸没有威脅就可以了，台灣參加國際空間更加廣闊，其實大陸不要其他的更多。但是台灣統一對美國損失重大，美國無法賣武器給台灣，無法用台灣制衡大陸，美國失去了永不沉的航空母艦等等。台觀統一對日本也是如此，因為台灣海峽是黄金運輸水道，被大陸控制，日本也不舒服，所以美日堅決反對大陸統一台灣，也是大陸一統台灣最大外部障礙。

一，有人講，大陸統一台灣，無法承受國際上所有國家對中國制裁，讓中國成為孤家寡人。真的是這樣嗎？顯然不是！中國不武統台灣，西方各國對中國就不制裁嗎？顯然不是！西方各國一直對中國制裁沒有停止過，武器禁運到了現在也沒有解除，中國怕制裁嗎？顯然不怕！中國的軍事武器就是在禁運中發展起來，其中包括各種武器，還有北斗衛星航天技術等等。現在美國有的，中國都有了；世界有的，中國也都有了。中國北斗導航是軍事行動的前提，美國為了台灣攻擊大陸本土，顯然不敢，如果那樣，兩個核武器大國共同滅亡，人類毀滅。美國航母可以過來戰鬥，但是中國的導彈東風26、21專門為了航母準備的。中國不是小國，也不是1996年的中國，航母可以開到台灣海峽，航母離著遠一點，大陸沒有辦法。現在大陸對付航母的手段很多，而且非常有效果。美國第一島鏈軍事基地可以參加戰鬥，但是這些軍事基地只能打第一槍，沒有打第二槍的機會。這些軍事基地全部在中國導彈覆蓋之內，南海大陸填島結束，配備了相應武器。至於大量配備也是非常簡單的事情。美國有11艘航母，南海諸島能相當於100艘航母，所以武統台灣，南海美國都無法通過。至於攻打台灣，首先打掉其制空權，還有他的制海權。至於運輸船，不僅僅是部隊的兩棲攻擊艦、氣墊船、軍艦等等，還有地方的滾裝船，都可以進行運兵。台灣島很多平灘，這讓台灣無法重點防守。進攻台灣也不是一個方向，而是東南西北四個方向同時進攻。至於進攻台灣，武器最便宜最方便的火箭砲都能打500公里，可以覆蓋整個台灣，因為台灣海峽只有180公里，海上東西也不寬。至於高新技術武器能準確地定點清除，打台灣指揮系統、打飛機場、打雷達設備、打軍事基地等等。有人講武統台灣以後無法管理，是因為支持台灣獨立的人比較多，台灣名嘴黎建南講過一個故事，他去韓國開會，韓國人講韓國有英雄與狗熊，都讓人尊敬；所謂英雄，在日本統治時期這些人敢殺日本人，知道自己要死，還要去殺，這就是英雄，但台灣沒有這樣的英雄。韓國的狗熊就是面對日本的統治，逆來順受、委曲求全，延伸的韓國生命，這樣狗熊也不錯，台灣這樣的狗熊比較多，這就是台灣性格，所以拿下台灣，台灣民意是牆頭草順風倒，恩威並用，打一巴掌給一甜棗，台灣民意會有很大逆轉，因為台灣被殖民習慣了，有這樣的性格。新黨主席郁慕明講台灣歷史，也講到的台灣具備這個性格。當前的情況是甚麼？是台灣在逼大陸武統，大陸給台灣很多優惠政策，讓台灣感到同根同源，台灣每年對大陸順差有四到五億美元，.......（未完）...............(未完）

美日同床異夢各懷鬼胎，把蔡英文急白了頭發

《谦秋论》赖岳谦第兩百零五集｜卖力抗中讨美喜欢的日本！身体却很诚实！｜

《谦秋论》赖岳谦第兩百零六集｜弃台论不时浮现！台湾从美囯棋子到烫手山芋？｜

两岸摊牌！武统条件具备！解放军在台海释放三大武统信号！有人已经开始逼大陆出手！

统一良策祭出！台湾回归！大陆拟定全球公开直播武统过程，40亿人在线观看还能打赏！

陳明通大談武統模式，統一成了迫切真議題

遏止民進黨養網軍藍營推“預算法”修正草案直接擊倒！2022藍綠若對決盧秀燕領先對手三成台灣總人口首度負成長專家示警百年後將只剩200萬等不到退場條

引大陸放狠話，島內暗藏日、美、漢三系“台獨”，大陸如何殺毒

黎建南、董智森跟你聊聊“台獨”頑固分子吳釗燮

最噁心的政府官員沒有之一。

很凶狠的、醜陋的、極為危險的、只會找老外幫他的狗熊，拖老外下水伎倆不變。

吳釗燮，吾早洩。他要戰去戰，不要拖台灣人下水！

台湾南波亡! 印度南波吐!

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無恥壞蛋不買近又有效的大陸疫苗

時論廣場》買疫苗何必捨近求遠（陳朝平）

18:502021/05/13

言論

陳朝平

疫情面臨最嚴峻的考驗，國內疫苗不足的問題，也再度引發討論。面對立委質詢，陳時中脫口表示，地方政府只要透過有執照的藥商完成輸入許可手續，並向指揮中心提出申請，就可以自購疫苗。陳時中的脫口秀，遭柯P痛批：把買疫苗的責任推給地方政府，這是非常不負責任作法。

早先，關於疫苗採購問題，衛福部先是「依法」排斥大陸研發製造的疫苗，並以輕蔑的言詞反問：「大陸疫苗效力偏低，你敢打嗎？」等到媒體進一步詢問疫苗採購進度時，陳時中又以疫苗採購簽約屬商業機密，拒絕透露詳情。另一方面，國人也遲遲未見衛福部緊急授權使用各國生產的各類疫苗，不免讓人懷疑是不是因為「沒有採購談判，就無需緊急授權」？合理推論，台灣採購疫苗之路，可能已經受阻；衛福部手中這批AZ疫苗用罄後，將面臨沒有疫苗可用的窘境。否則，為什麼陳時中要出此下策，同意地方政府自行採購疫苗？

世界各國的疫苗採購都屬中央政府事務，WHO下轄分配疫苗的平台COVAX，也是只認中央政府，不認地方政府，如何能讓地方政府與COVAX聯絡，加入疫苗採購分配的名單裡？

地方政府商業採購疫苗可行嗎？世界各國搶購疫苗都搶到撕破臉了，正常的疫苗採購也得提前好幾個月預訂簽約，哪裡可以臨時插隊搶購？縣市政府既沒有編列疫苗採購的預算，也沒有從事國際採購的經驗，如何採購疫苗？中央政府緊急授權使用各藥廠開發的疫苗前，地方政府如何決定採購對象？採購來的疫苗，地方上沒有冷鏈運輸及物流倉儲支持，誰敢接種？若是地方政府透過兩岸雙城論壇或是國共論壇，採購了大陸研發製造，且經世衛組織認可的疫苗，台灣准予輸入嗎？

疫苗採購還應回歸中央。既然G7堅決挺台參與WHA，又極力誇讚台灣防疫成績，如今，台灣防疫有難，口惠之餘，G7國家是否應該優先販售疫苗給台灣？蔡政府是否應該籲請美國將多餘的疫苗送交台灣，藉以化「大內宣」為外交實績，以昭國人公信？萬一G7國家相應不理，蔡政府能否運用台灣在全球先進半導體88%市占率的優勢，善用「護國神山」台積電在全球晶片供應鏈的實力槓桿，逼迫G7國家用疫苗來換取台灣的高端晶片？

不幸的是，疫情蔓延以來，G7各國攔截醫療資源，壟斷疫苗和疫苗製造原料，為富不仁。要想他們大發慈悲，疫苗援助台灣，怕是天方夜譚。就算美國恩賜疫苗給我們，屆時，中南美洲友邦如瓜地馬拉等，會不會要求吳釗燮先行兌現承諾，維護雙方邦交情誼？

其實採購疫苗何必捨近求遠？中國大陸國藥集團的疫苗既已通過COVAX認證，基於陸方才剛說過「沒有誰比我們更加關心台灣同胞的健康福祉」，「妥善安排台灣參與全球衛生事務」，若是就近向大陸採購疫苗，對岸肯定六百里加急處理，迅速回應。

陸製疫苗業經近百萬在陸台胞驗證，安全無慮。國產疫苗問世遙遙無期，歐美疫苗採購無門，採購大陸疫苗既能降緩台灣疫情，還能重啟兩岸對話談判，穩定台海情勢，一舉數得，何樂不為？

（作者為資深媒體人）

★殲亂DPP武統/蔡謝蘇集體賣台樂歪歪

楊植斗快評》抓到了！范雲添亂證據曝光

14:072021/05/13

言論

楊植斗

本土案例破16例新高，衛福部一度找不到病毒來源，造成社會恐慌，老百姓紛紛前往賣場掃貨。但今天陳時中受訪時表示，蘆洲、宜蘭的病毒基因定序與華航、諾富特「相同」，而獅子會的病例中有人到過萬華茶藝館，有可能是「同一條傳播鏈」。

陳時中言下之意，就是這波疫情大爆發，來源就是華航以及諾富特。既然如此，「喬」出3+11的范雲，當然要負最大的責任。范雲被爆出「喬事」後還不斷撇清，說她只是提供平台，絕對沒有施壓。然而最新的錄音流出，范雲在會議中「強烈建議回到3＋11」，明明就施壓衛福部、政治凌駕專業，卻說她「問心無愧」，不願為現今的局面下台負責。

2003年，台灣也爆發SARS疫情，衛生署長涂醒哲請辭獲准。涂表示，請辭是自認仍有督導不周之處，院內感染再度發生，讓醫護人員受創，他於心不安。而范雲造成當今局面，絕對是防疫豬隊友。

民進黨的不分區立委喬事爆疫情，民進黨若不處理范雲，不但無法向人民交代，更是在立法院放一枚未爆彈，哪天范雲再次「喬」出防疫新破口，豈不是讓政府的防疫作為毀於一旦？民進黨還要當鴕鳥嗎？

DPP不但賣台而且還真是無能透頂

時論廣場》大停電戳破供電充裕假象（葉宗洸）

19:572021/05/13

言論

葉宗洸

13日下午因興達電廠2部燃煤與2部燃氣機組先後跳機，導致台灣西半部再度出現大停電。高裝置容量的發電機組跳機後的巨大負載轉移，極易導致電網中其他電驛的低頻保護機制被啟動，可能造成網內各機組的連鎖式跳機。於是，跳機效應開始漫延後，全台各地紛紛傳出無預警停電，為了防止更大規模的全島電網崩潰，台電不得不緊急執行低頻卸載及分區輪流供電。

根據台電官網大停電前的數據，13日備轉容量率達10.01%，尖峰備轉容量為365.3萬瓩，供電燈號為代表供電充裕的綠燈。初步消息顯示興達電廠率先跳機的是2號與4號燃煤機組，其裝置容量合計不過105萬瓩，加上緊接著跳機的2部燃氣機組89萬瓩的裝置容量，共占當日5.3%備轉容量率，理應不構成影響。

唯一的可能就是「即時」備轉容量率其實遠低於10%，結果興達這兩部機組跳機當下，根本沒有足夠的外援機組可供調度，最終導致興達其他運轉中機組及全台各地部分發電機組也陸續低頻跳機。既然台電每日清早公布一次的備轉容量率無法反應即時狀態，何以仍堅持使用而不做即時更新？原因就在每日公布一次其實內藏玄機。

依據台電現行作法，太陽光電與風電發電量均可計入每日最大供電能力中，間接提高了當日備轉容量率。以13日為例，最大用電量預估值為3650萬瓩，拜近日晴空萬里之賜，光電的發電量可計入300萬瓩，同時也膨風備轉容量率8.2%。因此，即便核三1號機、林口3號機、中火9號機、麥寮3號機及大林6號機等多部機組都在大修之際，台電官網仍可亮出供電綠燈，完全符合上級長官經濟部的不缺電宣示。

台電如果公布即時備轉容量率數據，在太陽光電供電量可因瞬間天候變化、或因黃昏已近，而出現大幅下降時，綠燈很可能就直接跳成代表供電警戒的橘燈，此等打臉經濟部的數據公告當然不可行。然而，殘酷的現實是，當光電的裝置容量越來越高，備轉容量率被光電膨風的情形就會益形嚴重，在可供調度機數量未增加的情況下，10%的備轉容量率其實早已不具供電充裕的意義了。

13日中午過後雲層變厚，連帶影響太陽光電出力，原先備援的燃氣機組必須及時啟動或升載，致使備轉容量率低於公告的10.01%；當興達這4部機組陸續跳機後，僅剩的備轉容量已不足以維持全台電網的穩定供電，於是各地停電訊息紛紛出現於各社群網站。2017年8月15日大潭電廠6部機組同時跳機導致全台大停電的個案，多數民眾依然記憶猶新。沒想到，事隔不到4年，類似的情形再度發生，更令人憂心的是，前次大潭機組因跳電而瞬間喪失的裝置容量為445.6萬瓩，此次興達機組因跳電而瞬間喪失的裝置容量為不及大潭一半的194萬瓩，顯示這幾年全台電網的供電穩定性正因備援不足而逐步弱化。

歸根究柢，如果即時備轉容量率足夠，這兩次大停電都可避免，供電綠燈的假象遮掩不了備援電力已然不足的現實。當今政府及其側翼可以在事後立即大量散布「跳電不是缺電」的荒謬說詞，但再多的空話與狡辯，都無法改變躁進能源轉型政策正在危及台灣供電安全的事實。（作者為國立清華大學工程與系統科學系教授）

四年兩度大停電呂謦煒批：蔡英文讓台灣成為第三世界

興達電廠跳機全台大停電北市傳28件電梯受困

四年兩度大停電呂謦煒批：蔡英文讓台灣成為第三世界

19:482021/05/13

中時新聞網

丁世傑

前國民黨青年團總團長、現任前鎮區青工會長呂謦煒。（資料照片）

2017年曾發生815全台大停電，才過四年，2021年就發生513全台大停電，至少四百萬戶遭受影響。前國民黨青年團總團長、現任前鎮區青工會長呂謦煒猛批，蔡英文執政才四年，全台就已經面臨兩次停電危機，讓台灣成為第三世界，而且都是結結實實的人禍，怎不讓人驚心？

呂謦煒指出，蔡英文2017年815全台大停電後，曾對國人道歉並表示要「改善脆弱的供電系統」。請問蔡總統，4年來妳做了什麼？為什麼會讓台灣在承平時期，還會發生一個機廠跳電，全台就大停電，這種第三世界國家才會有的狀況？

呂謦煒批評，台電現在顯示的備轉電力容量是真的嗎？近日天氣炎熱，民眾用電增加，台電明明還顯示備轉容量率亮是綠燈，結果只因為一個電廠的匯流排跳脫，整個台灣的供電就成問題。台灣難道已經成了一個需要時時擔心何時停電的三流社會了？

呂謦煒質疑，電力供給不維持穩定，不僅人民生活，就連經濟發展、國家安全，都會受到嚴峻考驗，蔡英文總統執政以來能源政策失當，「用愛發電」、「台灣不會缺電」等口號與謊言造成如今苦果，蔡英文總統應該要為此對人民道歉！如果可供發電的機組更多，能提供的電力更充足，即使興達電廠意外，仍然能夠維持全台民眾用電，這也是當初設定備轉容量率在百分之十以上的意義。

呂謦煒強調，錯誤犯過一次，只要能不二過，也許民眾還能原諒。但第二次犯錯，就證明台灣當前的能源政策方向走錯了，該是改弦更張的時候。蔡英文總統曾經保證過：「民進黨執政後，台灣保證不會缺電。」現在已經徹底破功，人民嘗到了缺電的苦果，而這缺電就是整個蔡英文政府與民進黨所搞出的人禍！

海納百川》除了網軍，不知道中央在幹什麼（楊渡）

13:042021/05/17

言論

楊渡

上周三第一時間聽到萬華茶藝館出事，就知大事不妙。那是人來人往的地方，擴散必定迅速。

果不其然，柯P一查，己經擴散到難以收拾。現在還在每天兩百多人染疫，是因台灣的篩檢機制太慢，如果篩檢更快，恐怕人數會劇增。

比較好的辦法是：先暫停一切活動，清理戰場。有接觸的，送檢驗；有感染的，送醫治；問題是政府的篩檢設備和醫材根本不夠用，萬華與彰化大排長龍，而檢出來的人，要送哪裡醫治？有多少隔離病房可用？還有醫護人員的保護設備夠嗎？他們的生活要不要與家人隔離？以避免感染給家人；他們若隔離，生活供應如何？

這都是武漢去年出事時，我曾一再寫過的。不只要哀矜悲憫，更要睜大眼睛，看武漢如何應對，所有發生於武漢的經驗，從醫療、護理人員的支援、社會管理、社區學校管理、流動人口的管制等等，都是很寶貴的一課。

武漢用那麼大的悲劇，那麼慘痛的代價，才得到的這一點經驗，我們要悲憫而敬重去學習，作為保護自己的材料。

可惜，呼籲歸呼籲，隨後歐美的經驗表明，沒有人把武漢經驗當一回事，一場人類史上罕見的瘟疫衝擊，就這樣繼續擴散。台灣也在自滿中，失去提防心，失去悲憫心，不但沒有疫苗，連篩檢的機制也缺乏。而無知的官員和媒體還在講著「武漢肺炎」。

現在，擴散的情況已非常嚴重，台北與新北的高中以下停課，是為了盡量停止活動，好清理戰場，清點傷患與待救治情況。估計起來，疫情會比現在表面所見嚴重數倍。因此，停止活動兩周，把擴散情況理清楚，是必要的。

雙北的做法是對的。這本應全國一起做，但中央政府己經用掩蓋來逃避現實，怎麼敢做全國的檢測呢？他們根本失能失職，連做全國性的決策都無能了，簡直荒唐……。

幸好，台灣還有善良而自動的老百姓，城市的活動幾乎都停了。這就證明，這麼配合的老百姓，才是台灣防疫奇蹟的根本。

現在最令人厭惡的莫過於中央養的網軍。他們只會對悲憫者、呼籲者出征，帶來仇恨與互相敵視，對大局、對醫事，一點幫助都沒有。只讓人對這個政府更加離心離德。然而，除了記者會跟網軍，我已不知道這個政府在幹什麼了。

（作者為資深媒體人）

時論廣場》綠色執政破口總爆發（張景為）

20:122021/05/17

言論

張景為

蔡總統連任即將屆滿周年，但一年前才創下817萬票史上最高紀錄、民調支持度屢創新高的蔡政府，此刻迎來的卻是本土疫情大爆發，雙北市進入三級警戒，全台各地紛陷確診恐慌，以及早先連番發生的缺水、空汙、大停電、政黑掛鉤、火車重大事故等等的危機總爆發。每一件都侵蝕著民進黨執政的根基，尤其是正愈演愈烈的疫災，嚴重程度、影響所及，更是令人不敢想像。

對比一年前台灣自豪全球防疫模範生的風光，如今的慘狀簡直不可同日而語。如果現在就說民進黨政府的防疫績效徹底破功，或許尚難定論，但已經出現了巨大的破口，而且破口可能越裂越大，則是不爭的事實。

很顯然，蔡政府一直標榜的「超前部署」，當時在各種因緣際會的因素下，加上台灣民眾高度自制的榮譽感與配合度，的確取得了亮麗的成果。但時移勢轉，各種狀況有了新的變化，再要抱殘守缺、繼續迷戀前半段的美好感覺，台灣就很可能輸在下半場。

目前疫情的嚴重程度堪以變成疫災來形容，而且已經對整個社會生活、民生經濟造成了重大影響，綜合專家學者的意見，針對疫情本身有三點批判：一是應透過大規模的普篩，找出隱藏的確診者；二是若出現大批確診者，應集中隔離醫療；三是全民施打疫苗。但這三項或因防疫指揮官陳時中認為沒必要、或因台灣無此條件而不採行，最矛盾的是「政治疫苗」的採購考量，使得疫苗採購的質與量始終受限，因而導致如今的窘況。但這三者無論理由通不通，都已隨著情勢的緊迫，更加必須面對解決。

從如何對抗疫情來看又可分三個層次：一是中央的閣揆蘇貞昌與防疫指揮官陳時中的角色表現，開始面臨嚴酷挑戰。眼下陳時中正不斷遭到故作曖昧、隱匿疫情嚴重性的質疑，種種反常言行，甚至出現「你累了嗎」的嘲諷，隨著防疫情勢的升高，外界要求由蘇揆出任指揮官的聲浪漸增；但蘇因行事與用人風格屢遭爭議，公信力盡失，防疫升級若改由他掌舵，其個人意願乃至社會的信服力都是問題。

二是中央的政治考量、拙於應變，導致疫情升高，地方民選首長尤其是災情核心且非屬綠籍的雙北市長侯友宜、柯文哲，便不得不積極自救，頻提建議甚至嗆聲中央；最近侯柯二人對防疫措施發聲與動作不斷，反倒是中央的蘇陳二人對此並不吭聲，完全採取被動觀望態勢。微妙的是，疫災固然對雙北雙雄造成挑戰，但相對也是侯柯二人大展身手，藉此贏得民意的良機。

最重要的是，兩年半來「蔡蘇體制」的運作，貫穿了蔡英文總統從選前到選後的各種風光盛況，不可能再更上層樓的蘇揆擋在前面，既不會對蔡總統形成權力實質的威脅，又可充分遂行她權力暗黑的擴張；如今儼然已到了價值用盡、再來轉進的階段，誠所謂「成也蘇揆，敗也蘇揆」。蘇揆下台當然得等疫情稍緩再說，但執政黨的防疫若失敗，受害的將是整個國家社會，也沒有人會是真正的贏家，監督政府很重要，但唱衰政府也絕不是台灣人民真正所願。

時論廣場》阻礙防疫的國安醜聞（施威全）

20:122021/05/17

言論

施威全

彰化縣衛生局長葉彥伯說明彰化再新增9例確診。（吳敏菁攝）

人口台灣第一的新北市，與最大縣彰化縣，已成政府抗疫陣列中的引領者。新北市長侯友宜的口頭禪「超前部署」，各地方首長紛紛跟隨念誦；彰化縣衛生局長葉彥伯，30年公衛經驗，帶領彰化戰過腸病毒與食安風暴，新冠疫情1年來彰化縣的行政作為，各地衛生局仿效。

跟著念經的人未必真懂得精義，有些縣市長高喊「準3級警戒」，認為就是「超前」。超前部署概念用於天災警戒，從朱立倫到侯友宜，新北實施多年。以颱風為例，斷樹、土石若阻斷山路，當山坡社區有事，怪手山貓無法抵達；因此颱風未至，機具設備就預先上山就位，以防萬一。超前災難，事先部署，功力高下，端看危機處理團隊的危機想定，設想各種可能，預先擬解決方案。

危機想定就是預測未來，但須以現況為基準，掌握事態邏輯，加以推演。這也是去年4月葉彥伯所做的事。當時彰化縣擴大無症狀居家檢疫者篩檢，被中央政府指控「私下篩檢」、「圖利他人」，移送政風調查。側翼也發動，例如藉醫護之名，實際上是商業粉專的「美的好朋友」等網軍，衝前鋒，控葉彥伯罪名十多種，事後證明皆是扭曲與造謠。

現在雙北與彰化擴大篩檢，主動出擊，就是葉彥伯1年前的邏輯。與陳時中的蓋牌、圍堵，原則不一樣，但不衝突。中央與地方相互補充，不是唯有順時中。

確診案例暴增，氣氛駭人，專業訊息也不能再只是中央說了才算，地方機關了解在地特性，發言的角色更重要。中央此時，重點應當防阻醫美「假專業」粉專在社群網路上的擴散。這類假建議、假醫學知識，就像藝人穿上白袍代言健康食品一樣，只是演戲。以「美的好朋友」為例，現在呼籲學生、青年不要返鄉南歸，忽略年輕人實際困境，也沒考量全島經濟發展將是抗疫成功的基礎實力。為了政治攻防，去年中央政府驅使或縱容類似網紅當側翼，現在必須以專業為由，要求收斂。

也因為政治考量，當前抗疫最重要的疫苗，台灣只有他國零頭的小數點。英美接種率8成時，台灣接種率不到1%。國人接種意願低不是關鍵因素，疫情大爆發前，自費疫苗預約早已滿額；台灣疫苗數量極少，先前只依賴WHO分配機制才獲得一點點零頭，是重大國安疏失，國家醜聞。到底是不是蘇系立委介入，使得疫苗採購嚴重延遲，還是國安單位堅持不向中國代理商採購？

當自費疫苗在台灣耗盡時，政府的駐美代表處誠實宣告：「截至上周，對美交涉重點在如何協助邦交國取得新冠疫苗」，駐美代表當然不知台灣民眾打不到疫苗，是哪個國安工作的環節搞錯優先次序，沒下令駐美代表處盡快落實讓疫苗抵台。

1年來太多政治盤算干擾抗疫，監察院該勇敢點，追出國安醜聞真相。（作者為倫敦大學伯貝克法律學校博士）

奔騰思潮》得意忘形沒準備好這就是台灣的防疫（汪葛雷）

16:332021/05/17

言論

汪葛雷

台灣目前約擁有1000床負壓病房，400天過去了，我國的負壓病房數量成長為0，目前雙北只剩51床，醫療量能極度吃緊。（本報資料照片）

寫作本文前，我要先強調，我無比希望「一切都如同奇蹟般立刻變好」，更是極度渴望「天佑台灣」。但有些話該批評就要批評，任何的成功或失敗，細究以後多半都找得出原因，現在該是台灣全盤檢討的時候了。

如果要說台灣這次防疫到底有什麼錯，用一句話來形容，就是「得意忘形所以缺乏準備」。

去年2月22日，衛福部醫事司司長石崇良在指揮中心記者會後受訪時表示，根據統計，全台負壓隔離病房約有1100床。那是台灣去年新冠肺炎爆發後負壓病床的能量，現在距離那時超過400天了，照理講在全球大爆發，許多國家面臨醫療系統崩潰，有這麼多前車之鑑時，我們該引以為鑑，擴充醫療系統能量了吧？

非常不幸，台灣就是沒準備好！同樣都是這一位石崇良（現已升為次長），他在今年5月13日接受中央社記者電訪時，說台灣目前約擁有1000床負壓病房。是的，400天過去了，我國的負壓病房數量成長為0！而截至5月16日為止，雙北只剩51床，醫療量能極度吃緊。

負壓病房只是抗疫眾多重要子彈其中一種，其餘如同口罩、酒精、疫苗、氧氣、呼吸機也都很重要。然而現在蘇貞昌只敢臉書強調口罩庫存8億片，57萬瓶酒精，以及防護面罩、全身防護衣、隔離衣的量，絕口不提政府在國際上到底買到多少劑疫苗（目前只有30萬劑，給一個新店區打第一劑都不夠），就可看出疫苗這一關「政府同樣沒準備好」。

這就要問了，是誰讓去年底東洋公司訂購德國BNT疫苗的案子破局的？那時東洋說最快今年第一季就可以取得1000萬劑，如果現在已有1000萬劑，500萬人完成施打兩劑，豈有今天的窘狀？

再說得更不客氣，政府沾沾自喜的「超前部署」，僅只是在反中浪潮下產生的一朵「美好的泡沫」，一旦不涉中國因素，政府通通都是落後部署。先不提台灣那低於1%，遠遠落後鄰國的施打率；韓國都能生產AZ疫苗，已有超過350萬名超過65歲長者施打過AZ或BNT了，台灣呢？現在說最快7月底有國產疫苗可打，但那還是沒做完3期試驗，未真正於疫區測試效用的產品，打下去後有多大效果，國際是否承認，都是未定之天。

疫苗這一關，台灣就是落後部署，找再多藉口都改變不了事實。台灣沒這麼了不起，台灣沒這麼了不起，台灣真的沒這麼了不起，這句話很重要所以說三次。現在政府僅只是雙北升三級，但餐廳仍可內用，百貨照開，對比5月15日新增31例，過去七天平均29例的新加坡，已經在禁止「所有室內無法全程戴口罩的活動」，筆者不禁想問，是台灣人有什麼天生神力，上帝護體，可以過得更自由自在一些？

誠實面對台灣好運已用完的事實吧！謙卑謙卑再謙卑的與那些經歷慘痛教訓的國家（過去疫情爆發，之後卻能壓下來的國家）學習如何社交管控、如何蓋方艙醫院，如何搶購疫苗吧！唯有這樣台灣才能重獲生機。

天不會自動佑台灣，台灣是靠人佑的。滿招損，謙受益。過去一年浪費了時間沒擴建負壓病房，沒搶購疫苗，現在一定要一天當兩天用，紮紮實實的抄其他國用血淚累積出的防疫經驗才好。

（作者為網路媒體工作者）

【全球政經周報】驚悚！疫苗失效?!變種病毒凶猛　台灣剉咧等！"印度疫情失控"殷鑑不遠 @中天財經頻道 20210516

遏止民進黨養網軍藍營推“預算法”修正草案直接擊倒！2022藍綠若對決盧秀燕領先對手三成台灣總人口首度負成長專家示警百年後將只剩200萬等不到退場條

【全球政經周報】驚悚！疫苗失效?!變種病毒凶猛　台灣剉咧等！"印度疫情失控"殷鑑不遠 @中天財經頻道 20210516

遏止民進黨養網軍藍營推“預算法”修正草案直接擊倒！2022藍綠若對決盧秀燕領先對手三成台灣總人口首度負成長專家示警百年後將只剩200萬等不到退場條

上海2600萬人為何防疫成功當地台人一張圖揭關鍵：不意外

20:192021/05/19

中時新聞網

林毅

台灣疫情大爆發，本土感染5天破千例，全台也進入第三級警戒，一名網友詢問了在上海工作友人當地狀況，得到了疫情控制住，大家生活都正常的回應，讓他不解為何上海人口那麼多，卻都沒事，對此在上海台人也出面回應揭露原因。

網友在PTT八卦版PO文「為何上海能防疫成功」，他表示，自己也許多在上海工作的台灣朋友，問了一下他們現況，對方都表示疫情控制住，生活都已經正常了，讓他不解直問「上海人口那麼多，為何他們都沒事，甚至還能旅遊？」

一名在上海工作台人出面解釋原因，並貼出一張手機截圖，表示只要有確診資訊，手機馬上就會收到。(圖／PTT)

該名網友進一步貼出資訊，表示大陸網上有疫情地圖，確診者根本無所遁形。(圖／PTT)

隨後一名目前在上海的台灣人回文給答案，這名在陸台人表示，去年疫情爆發初期，包括所有大陸人在內，要進入上海的強制隔離14天，外省民眾也不必立刻復工，更明文規定公司不得記礦工，鼓勵大家在家上班，並要求大家在群組每天定時回報體溫，醫院非必要手術也全面暫停，住院患者做肺部斷層掃描，並關閉所有娛樂設施。

到了3月後，外國人進入上海一律送至旅館隔離14天，國內民眾則是要持核酸檢測報告才能進入，百度地圖也及時更新確診者足跡，可以立刻查詢到全國染疫情形，公共場所實施實名制，航空公司限制一周一班，若有確診者停飛一周，超過3人就直接禁止，直到申請並經過審核才能復飛。

2021後，上海已經對各區實施過一輪核酸篩檢，醫護人員與旅館員工全面施打疫苗，上海當地居民與外來洽公人員可免費施打疫苗，航空公司若連續一個月無確診情形，可恢復一周2班。

該名網友也PO出一張截圖，表示許多人認為大陸資訊不透明、蓋牌，實際上每天打開手機都能看到好幾則最新染疫資訊，包括各省確診情形，確保民眾不會漏掉。

底下不少人在上海台人也紛紛留言證實「當時管超嚴，我差點回不去我租屋處」、「大陸真的抓超緊」、「大陸真的很嚴格，可是很多無腦的人不相信」，但也有人酸「大陸的透明是有限度的透明，黨允許的大家都可以知道」、對此原PO也反駁：「台灣沒資格拿透明度嘴大陸，光足跡要不要就要看指揮中心臉色，上海是確診就全部公布」。

14則留言

說到無腦本地817+，但是他們是喪屍不知道自己無腦。說到透明本地黨不讓你知道的你知道嗎，817?說到足跡只有鄭公和周嬤嬤可以說且沒有事，誰敢說辦你喔！嚇死人了。你知道你沒水沒電沒疫苗嗎！老天真的怒了！【你知道嗎！】
別被一個牙醫搞死一堆儍逼！

台灣根本沒在防疫只在造神而已

中國共產黨是真心照顧人民。
中國共產黨萬歲！
請中國人民解放軍早日光復台澎金馬！

當隻蛙,當然有蛙的驕傲,除了蛙,世上沒有更好的物種了...

被蒙蔽的雙眼和心智是看不清真相的井底之蛙也看不到廣闊的天空

就治國能力及防疫實力來說，台灣根本看不到中國的車尾燈！

這次新冠疫情就是給各國執政能力的一次公平大考驗，可惜似乎所謂的民主國家...完敗！

台灣絕對做不到這點
光一個廣篩就可以戳破神棍牙醫的神話
再弄個正確疫情地圖
不就要他的命

由一些自媒體影片看見去年武漢首發封城封到幾乎密不透風,並以小區做基準區分隔離.建方艙醫院,全面篩檢,先穩住局面,再加快擴大施打疫苗,難怪疫情能很快消退.反觀我們始終只做消極境外防堵,每天在那自嗨國內嘉玲,連國外英國變種病毒已傳出感染力增強,指揮中心不但視若無睹還縮減華航機師隔離期間,真是令人搖頭.

台灣許多人已被綠媒洗腦成了井蛙仍不自知，大陸防疫措施既紮實又有效，帶著偏見的綠營就是死也不肯學，問題是，死的可不是綠營高官，而是無辜的民眾啊！

不見得所有民眾都無辜，挺綠的民眾為自己的政治堅持付出代價是應該的，
可憐的是能看清楚當前的政治亂局、貪婪、濫權及無知的防疫措施，導致那些清醒百姓卻一併深陷於疫情的恐懼裡，情何以堪！