No one wins

Jun 8th 2011, 17:07

I respond Jasiek w japonii (Jun 3rd 2011 7:35 GMT @Muffinavenger)

DPJ has big differences from LDP. If we retrospect Japan’s recent history from Prime Minister Yoshida Ban who rebuilt Japan after WWII to half-strongman Koizumi Junichiro and DPJ’s founder Yukio Hatoyama who got degree from department of natural science rather than law or political science, we can see what LDP had held a long-term power in nearly 40 years because LDP was famous for his efficient economical policy and always gave Japanese confidence of advance in the world.

Japan’s two-party system was established from early 1990 and was accompanying with DPJ’s expansion of swallowing many parties about 1996-1998. When it comes to the last apex of LDP, Mr. Koizumi was working hard about structural reform and facing three-protester DPJ Yukio Hatoyama, Naoto Kan and Ichiro Ozawa, the most cunning fox in Japanese political arena at least 20 years As many reserchers and media talked about, Ichiro Ozawa might be the next prime minister and we can see many examples from his hostile words in conflict with Mr. Koizumi to last September’s attack of Naoto Kan.

DPJ is inclined to follow the way of party-policy rather than LDP’s individualism. In this logic, or say in fact, Naoto Kan needn’t end his game so quickly that DPJ is more and more similar to LDP since 1990s bubble economy time. DPJ is mainly focusing on the welfare not only because they believe Fabianism for a long time but also they try to adjust Japan’s economy in order to face the age of the aged society. I humbly use Jasiek’s sentences:

“Japan needn’t a strong leader like Mr Mubarak or Mr Gaddafi, who act on his/her own authority in politics, but someone that can work hard to put various opinions together in line with his/her own political stance and make a decision as a moderatist and gradualist. That’s what strong leadership is really.”

Basically speaking, Japan’s political arena is still stable but as the Economist reported some since last September, Japan now lacks of genius of leading themselves such as Yoshida Ban, NakasoneYasuhiro, Ryutaro Hashimoto, Koizumi Junichiro, but the education of nationalism, the serious law system and the culture of samuri can support all the Japan’s political structure. In addition to the above commentators who talk about the cause of media side, the direction of this strong economy and the thoughts of numerous multinational conglomerates is also the key to decide whether LDP or DPJ can hold the power, such as SONY’s Wada Kov and Mr. Howard, Toyota’s Toyoda, and Toshiba’s Atsutoshi Nishida and Norio Sasaki or Nissan’s Toshiyuki Shiga.

By the way, DPJ researches Taiwan issue more than LDP and is special about the view of Taiwan Strait. In 2003, DPJ’s these three core people and Katsuyo Okada lead some assembly in Lower House signing the document which should support the “foreseeable Republic of Taiwan” independence from China, and the ex-secretary general Ichiro Ozawa once visited Chen Shui-Bian’s National presidential palace. I am very worried about what Ichiro Ozawa’s recent view of this issue and his some prejudice of Chinese Communist Party. But paradoxically speaking, DPJ is not “seeking” the expansion of power in mainland China, rather than LDP who sometimes discloses the thought of occupying Nanjing or Changchun or murmur some strange words. DPJ is more actively positive than LDP in making friends with South Korea and People’s Republic of China, and also shows higher grade than LDP and other countries in Northerneast Asian six-party meeting.

Although Japan is still stable in political side no matter who succeed Naoto Kan, or he can continue his term, it is better for any country including Japan to choose a powerful leader to sustain this big country and prevent some potential crisis.

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雖然只有得到四個人的稍同意票，但於事後回顧這篇算寫得算成功了。日本的相關主題文章本來在經濟學人的粉絲圈噓聲會比較多。這篇提到了長期的一個半政黨政治型態，在鳩山由紀夫前總理下台後的趨勢，正逢本來的第二多民意的小澤一郎挑戰鳩山所指定的菅直人首相，以些危差距在黨首選舉落敗。同時有提到日本獨特財閥政治的現象，在民主黨執政時稍緩但在通貨緊縮時期，雖然日本經濟安穩清靜但是疲軟，有日本國內民主度增加但是國際政治上有關美日安保條約認知有落差，技術上的搬遷沖繩基地共識未達，未實現選前承諾而引起國內抗議使鳩山下台。民主黨和台灣本土派系比較友好不過較為自持，鳩山和菅首相兩位比較不會對外侵略敵意比以前自民黨壟斷政治經濟資源時少很多。就日本的民族性說，今天的日本是個人自由獨立構築的現代化國度，好像也不用強而有力領導，作好公共服務即可，但也是如此，惜福和團結的民眾更慎重地要求政治人物的道德及政見。很久以前媽媽家裡是認識一些日本舊政要及財團的要人如犬養毅，再來看現在的日本政治真是陌生又熟悉的稠悵。