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落實平均地權,改善土地增值稅,建立漲價歸公模型(二)
2011/05/23 12:15:22瀏覽351|回應0|推薦0

  上回說到,民生主義本質介於資本主義與社會主義之間,所以私人不動產漲價部份,是要充公的。歸公的部份分成二種,一是「土地增值捐」,二是「土地持分捐」。政府持有的土地持分,可以行使擁有人權益,獲得土地租金。而且一但政府持有的土地持分捐超過 50%,該筆土地須經過公告拍賣的程序決定來決定公告地價。土地增值捐則是更名自土地增值稅,目的是讓政府提前獲得部份的漲價歸公收益。

 不過在上回的表中,只呈現了「漲價歸公」,並沒有呈現「跌價亦歸公」的精神。所以在下表中,假設了10年一次的金融海嘯。由於 2008年(民國97年)發生過金融海嘯,所以假定將在民國 107年重現,之後每隔 10年一次。土地在市場中的行情下跌去年漲幅的 6倍,政府公告地價也順應民情下跌 6倍。

民國

土地市價

市場漲幅

公告地價

公告漲幅

地主持分

政府持分

地主坐擁

100

$30,000

2.00%

$10,000

1.00%

100.00%

0.00%

$30,000

101

$30,600

2.00%

$10,100

1.00%

99.01%

0.99%

$30,297

102

$31,212

2.00%

$10,201

1.00%

98.03%

1.97%

$30,597

103

$31,836

2.00%

$10,303

1.00%

97.06%

2.94%

$30,900

104

$32,473

2.00%

$10,406

1.00%

96.10%

3.90%

$31,206

105

$33,122

2.00%

$10,510

1.00%

95.15%

4.85%

$31,515

106

$33,785

2.00%

$10,615

1.00%

94.20%

5.80%

$31,827

107

$34,461

-12.00%

$10,721

-6.00%

93.27%

6.73%

$32,142

108

$30,325

2.00%

$10,078

1.00%

99.23%

0.77%

$30,090

109

$30,932

2.00%

$10,179

1.00%

98.24%

1.76%

$30,388

110

$31,550

2.00%

$10,281

1.00%

97.27%

2.73%

$30,689

111

$32,181

2.00%

$10,383

1.00%

96.31%

3.69%

$30,993

112

$32,825

2.00%

$10,487

1.00%

95.35%

4.65%

$31,300

113

$33,482

2.00%

$10,592

1.00%

94.41%

5.59%

$31,610

114

$34,151

2.00%

$10,698

1.00%

93.47%

6.53%

$31,923

115

$34,834

2.00%

$10,805

1.00%

92.55%

7.45%

$32,239

116

$35,531

2.00%

$10,913

1.00%

91.63%

8.37%

$32,558

117

$36,242

-12.00%

$11,022

-6.00%

90.73%

9.27%

$32,880

118

$31,893

2.00%

$10,361

1.00%

96.52%

3.48%

$30,782

119

$32,530

2.00%

$10,465

1.00%

95.56%

4.44%

$31,086

120

$33,181

2.00%

$10,569

1.00%

94.61%

5.39%

$31,394

121

$33,845

2.00%

$10,675

1.00%

93.68%

6.32%

$31,705

122

$34,522

2.00%

$10,782

1.00%

92.75%

7.25%

$32,019

123

$35,212

2.00%

$10,889

1.00%

91.83%

8.17%

$32,336

124

$35,916

2.00%

$10,998

1.00%

90.92%

9.08%

$32,656

125

$36,635

2.00%

$11,108

1.00%

90.02%

9.98%

$32,979

126

$37,367

2.00%

$11,219

1.00%

89.13%

10.87%

$33,306

127

$38,115

-12.00%

$11,332

-6.00%

88.25%

11.75%

$33,636

128

$33,541

2.00%

$10,652

1.00%

93.88%

6.12%

$31,489

129

$34,212

2.00%

$10,758

1.00%

92.95%

7.05%

$31,801

130

$34,896

2.00%

$10,866

1.00%

92.03%

7.97%

$32,115

131

$35,594

2.00%

$10,974

1.00%

91.12%

8.88%

$32,433

132

$36,306

2.00%

$11,084

1.00%

90.22%

9.78%

$32,754

133

$37,032

2.00%

$11,195

1.00%

89.33%

10.67%

$33,079

134

$37,772

2.00%

$11,307

1.00%

88.44%

11.56%

$33,406

135

$38,528

2.00%

$11,420

1.00%

87.57%

12.43%

$33,737

136

$39,298

2.00%

$11,534

1.00%

86.70%

13.30%

$34,071

137

$40,084

-12.00%

$11,650

-6.00%

85.84%

14.16%

$34,408

138

$35,274

2.00%

$10,951

1.00%

91.32%

8.68%

$32,212

139

$35,980

2.00%

$11,060

1.00%

90.42%

9.58%

$32,531

140

$36,699

2.00%

$11,171

1.00%

89.52%

10.48%

$32,853

141

$37,433

2.00%

$11,282

1.00%

88.63%

11.37%

$33,178

142

$38,182

2.00%

$11,395

1.00%

87.76%

12.24%

$33,507

143

$38,946

2.00%

$11,509

1.00%

86.89%

13.11%

$33,839

144

$39,725

2.00%

$11,624

1.00%

86.03%

13.97%

$34,174

145

$40,519

2.00%

$11,741

1.00%

85.18%

14.82%

$34,512

146

$41,329

2.00%

$11,858

1.00%

84.33%

15.67%

$34,854

147

$42,156

-12.00%

$11,977

-6.00%

83.50%

16.50%

$35,199

148

$37,097

2.00%

$11,258

1.00%

88.83%

11.17%

$32,952

149

$37,839

2.00%

$11,371

1.00%

87.95%

12.05%

$33,278

150

$38,596

2.00%

$11,484

1.00%

87.08%

12.92%

$33,608

151

$39,368

2.00%

$11,599

1.00%

86.21%

13.79%

$33,941

152

$40,155

2.00%

$11,715

1.00%

85.36%

14.64%

$34,277

153

$40,958

2.00%

$11,832

1.00%

84.52%

15.48%

$34,616

154

$41,778

2.00%

$11,951

1.00%

83.68%

16.32%

$34,959

155

$42,613

2.00%

$12,070

1.00%

82.85%

17.15%

$35,305

156

$43,465

2.00%

$12,191

1.00%

82.03%

17.97%

$35,654

157

$44,335

-12.00%

$12,313

-6.00%

81.22%

18.78%

$36,007

158

$39,015

2.00%

$11,574

1.00%

86.40%

13.60%

$33,709

159

$39,795

2.00%

$11,690

1.00%

85.55%

14.45%

$34,043

160

$40,591

2.00%

$11,807

1.00%

84.70%

15.30%

$34,380

161

$41,403

2.00%

$11,925

1.00%

83.86%

16.14%

$34,720

162

$42,231

2.00%

$12,044

1.00%

83.03%

16.97%

$35,064

163

$43,075

2.00%

$12,164

1.00%

82.21%

17.79%

$35,411

164

$43,937

2.00%

$12,286

1.00%

81.39%

18.61%

$35,762

165

$44,815

2.00%

$12,409

1.00%

80.59%

19.41%

$36,116

166

$45,712

2.00%

$12,533

1.00%

79.79%

20.21%

$36,474

167

$46,626

-12.00%

$12,658

-6.00%

79.00%

21.00%

$36,835

168

$41,031

2.00%

$11,899

1.00%

84.04%

15.96%

$34,484

169

$41,851

2.00%

$12,018

1.00%

83.21%

16.79%

$34,825

170

$42,688

2.00%

$12,138

1.00%

82.39%

17.61%

$35,170

  上圖黃色的部份,表示發生金融海嘯。相同的計算方式,每隔 10年重現一次。在發生金融海嘯後,就可以發現 108年時,政府的土地持分變少,地主的持分增加。這就等於是「土地跌價亦歸公」,達到政府與人民患難與共的精神。在發生重大災難時,政府也可以提高免稅坪數或免租金坪數的方式來降低人民的負擔。但是絕不可以使用類似「土增稅減半」的做法,使土地面積愈大的人減稅愈多。

  上面的改良模型,比上回增加了一個欄,就是「地主坐擁」,該欄顯示地主實際坐擁的土地價值。以民國100年價值 3萬元的土地而言,該年度地主持有 100%土地;70年後,地主持有 82.39%土地,地主實際坐擁 $35,170元,表面上獲利 $5,170(不含土地租金及使用上之獲利)。但是也依此可以換算出,政府持有 17.61%的土地,價值 $7,518元,此金額當然也不含土地租金。這樣的結果顯示,一但土地拍賣,地主不可能獨獲利益,而政府只要每年佔有少許的土地持分,即可落實平均地權。要讓金主們相信,荒廢土地是無利可圖的,如果沒有確實的用地需求,地主切不可閒置土地,等待地價上漲,坐收眾人辛苦努力的成果。

 

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