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.J 烏克蘭.戰場雙方各式各樣的武器彈藥軍火消耗量極度龐大彷彿是無底洞?.

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自從20220224.俄羅斯與烏克蘭戰爭啟動美國始終援助烏克蘭大量敵軍火武器甚至於派遣特種部隊滲透協助烏克蘭阿兵哥打仗.

美國總統拜登宣布將再向烏克蘭提供價值8億美元的額外軍事援助，其中包括直升機、裝甲運兵車及美國首次提供的155毫米榴彈炮。自俄烏衝突爆發以來，美國承諾對烏克蘭軍事援助總額已超過25億美元。

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美國雖然無限制的印刷鈔票,支付軍火商,加速生產各式各樣軍火武器,供應烏克蘭戰場所需,也就是說肥肉給予軍火販子,讓大家發戰爭財,反正死亡的就是烏克蘭的阿兵哥,美國頂多犧牲掉極少數的僱傭兵而已.

作者HB評論又將話題延展至了中,美,俄這三大國未來的軍事發展態勢,並設想了未來可能發生的大國軍事衝突。如果爆發第3次世界大戰,按照同樣的分析邏輯，當前俄烏衝突對於美國而言是一場“使人清醒的預演”,能反映出美國自身在和中國或俄羅斯發生潛在衝突時可能面臨的問題。如果被迫在東歐或西太平洋發生戰事,美國將在幾天或幾周內耗盡導彈庫存,精確制導彈藥和其他關鍵資源,還可能遭受坦克,飛機,船艦等高精尖裝備的嚴重損失,屆時美國必須面對中國及俄羅斯兩頭開戰能夠支撐多久的武器消耗? 可想而知..........................大炮一響黃金萬兩,美國要同時開戰?

對抗俄羅斯與中國? 請問武器彈藥軍火夠用?...

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.Ukraine War Is Depleting America’s Arsenal of Democracy

Western allies face a choice: Send more weapons to Kyiv or save their stockpiles for their own defense.

America is following an “arsenal of democracy” strategy in Ukraine: It has avoided direct intervention against the Russian invaders, while working with allies and partners to provide the Kyiv government with money and guns.

That strategy, reminiscent of U.S. support for Britain in 1940-41, has worked wonders. Yet as the war reaches a critical stage, with the Russians preparing to consolidate their grip on eastern Ukraine, the arsenal of democracy is being depleted.

That could cause a fatal shortfall for Ukrainian forces in this conflict, and it is revealing American weaknesses that could be laid bare in the next great-power fight.

Of all the support the U.S. and its friends  have provided Ukraine, arms have mattered the most. Deliveries of drones, antitank and anti-aircraft weapons, ammunition and other capabilities have helped Ukraine wreak havoc on Russian forces even as Moscow has pummeled the country’s industrial base. 

General Mark Milley, the chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, told Congress that the West has delivered 60,000 antitank weapons and 25,000 anti-aircraft weapons to Kyiv. The Pentagon is now laying plans to rush additional artillery, coastal defense drones and other materiel to Ukraine. The White House on Wednesday announced a new $800 million package including helicopters and armored personnel carriers.

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Pentagon officials say that Kyiv is blowing through a week’s worth of deliveries of antitank munitions every day. It is also running short of usable aircraft as Russian airstrikes and combat losses take their toll. Ammunition has become scarce in Mariupol and other areas.  

This is presenting Western countries with a stark choice between pouring more supplies into Ukraine or husbanding finite capabilities they may need for their own defense.

Germany has declined to transfer tanks to Ukraine on grounds that it simply cannot spare them. Canada quickly ran short on rocket launchers and other equipment that the Ukrainians desperately need. The U.S. has provided one-third of its overall stockpile of Javelin anti-tank missiles. It cannot easily deliver more without leaving its own armories badly depleted — and it may take months or years to significantly ramp up production.

American economic leadership is no longer based primarily on manufacturing. Shortages of machine tools, skilled labor and spare production capacity could slow a wartime rearmament effort. The U.S. can’t quickly scale up production of Stinger missiles for Ukraine, for example, because the workforce needed to do so no longer exists.

American stockpiles of key weapons are smaller than one might imagine, partly because of production constraints and partly because most of the Pentagon’s roughly $750 billion budget goes to manpower, health care and things other than bullets and bombs.

Don’t bet against the world’s leading economy — and all of its democratic allies — in a long war. But don’t think that America would effortlessly produce what it needs to win.

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The problem isn’t insoluble. Greater investments in the defense industrial base and more aggressive purchasing and stockpiling of key munitions can help. The creation of a reserve industrial corps (civilians who have basic peacetime training so they can contribute to wartime production) is worth exploring. Key allies, such as Japan, may be able to help the U.S. surge production in shipbuilding and other areas.

Hal Brands is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist, the Henry Kissinger Distinguished Professor at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies, and a scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. Most recently, he is the author of "The Twilight Struggle: What the Cold War Teaches Us About Great-Power Rivalry Today."