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袁福廷本週股票推薦(11-11-09)
2009/11/24 02:19:54瀏覽399|回應0|推薦0

本英文報告(使用Google翻譯功能可得本中文報告)每週三晚美西部時間6點以後以電子郵件方式傳送﹐一月期訂費包括四到五期報告,目前特價試閱一月期$69(僅限新客戶優惠一次)﹐有興趣者可寄美金支票至以下地址﹕Charles Yuen & Asso., 100 N. Barranca St. Suite #700, West Covina, CA 91791, U.S. A. (請附上e-mail地址)﹐訂購專線﹕626-858-2019

            

                   Yuen's Weekly Stock Report                                      

                               Date: 11-11-09
 
Market highlights:
 
Major Average: 
DJ-30:   10,291                SP-500:  1,099                    Nasdaq: 2,167
Next Resistance: 
DJ-30:   10,477                SP-500:  1,101                    Nasdaq: 2,185
Next Support : 
DJ-30:   10,110                SP-500:  1,080                    Nasdaq: 2,016
Yuen's Market Signal :   Yellow-Green Light            Stock Asset Allocation: 75%
 
 
Market Comments: 
 
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) continues marching its six straight sessions' gain. How high will this market go? It seems to be every investor's question in his(her) mind? I think it is more important to focus on individual stocks we are investing than market index itself. Because we have price tumbling stocks during the bull market and price jumping stock during the bear market. However, we are still bullish on the market for the following reasons:1. Market has been up in a broad base. For example: all ten sectors advanced during last week, though cyclical stocks saw the most buying interest.  Industrials surged 6.1%, consumer discretionary advanced 4.7% and materials gained 5.0%.  Defensive areas under-performed on a relative basis, with telecom and consumer staples both gaining just 1.0%. 2., The third quarter non-farm productivity surged 9.5% in its preliminary report. That is considerably better than the consensus which called for an increase of 6.5% increase. The surge marked the largest gain in productivity since 2003. With job conditions still weak, unit labor costs dropped 5.2% in the third quarter. They were expected to fall 4.2%.3. October non-farm payrolls data fail to tumbling market. i.e. It fell 190,000 in October, which was worse than the expected decline of 175,000. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate rose to 10.2% from 9.8%, which was worse than the 9.9% consensus. 4. Other encouraging economic news sparked market to go higher: ISM Manufacturing Index for October came in at 55.7 (53.0 consensus), the ISM Services Index for October came in at 50.6 (51.5 consensus), construction spending in September spiked 0.8% (-0.2% consensus), and pending home sales for September made a 6.1% monthly increase  (consensus unchanged). So far DJIA is the only index average breaks thru its resistance line of 10,110 but SP-500 and Nasdaq fail to do. But I expect they will follow DJIA to be the up side. Now Yuen's market signal turns to Yellow-Green Light. You are suggested to add your positions at any market weakness. 

Stock Recommendation:

NutriSystem, Inc.(NTRI, 22.76) provides weight management products and services in the United States and Canada. Its weight management program includes primarily of a pre-packaged food program and counseling.The company is staging an improvement in earning with past two quarter's results beating estimated. Its 2010 EPS is forecasted at $1.13 and represents an increase of 11.8%. Over-weight seems to be a problem for most of Americans. In addition, It provides a dividend of $0.70 (Yield=3%), Buy it at $22.11 to $22.76 or less. Sell it $29-30 and stop loss at $21.35 

TRW Automotive Holdings Corp.(TRW,23.65) together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells automotive systems, modules, and components for automotive original equipment manufacturers and related after-markets. It operates in three segments: Chassis Systems, Occupant Safety Systems, and Automotive Components. It has staged a turn-around in earnings with 2010 EPS at $1.56. (i.e an increase of 10.4 folds from 2009 level). Buy it at $22.50-23.65 or less, Sell it at $28-29 and stop loss at $20.85) 

Previous Recommendations Follow Ups: 

Hold: AU
 
Day/Swing Trade: INTC 


Legal Disclaimer: Yuen's Weekly Stock Report makes no warranties to the contents or accuracy of any information published by Charles Yuen & Asso. Opinions or recommendations to buy, sell or short the securities in this issue is the views of the company research only. Charles Yuen & Asso. /or its affiliates receive no compensation, directly or indirectly, in consideration of mentioning any securities in this issue. Charles Yuen & Asso. /or its affiliates may have position in securities mentioned herein, including positions contrary to advise quoted herein, and may purchase or sell such securities from time to time. Opinions and recommendations may have changed since the dates shown. You absolutely must make your own decision before acting on any information gained from this issue. Subscription: $99 for one month ,$289 for three months and $489 for six months. Mailing Address: Charles Yuen & Asso., 100 N. Barranca St. 7th floor, West Covina, CA 91791. USA
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