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包道格看台灣的中國研究
2006/08/16 21:30:22瀏覽384|回應2|推薦5

在布魯金斯研究所演講,僅供參考

兩岸學者的來往還是很頻繁的

http://www.brookings.edu/fp/cnaps/events/20060713.pdf

MR. PAAL: Well, I don't have the length of experience that you have, but I have a lot of

that experience from the '80s through the present.

In the '90s, Don Zagoria included me in his merry band of Nobel Peace Prize seekers

trying to solve the cross-strait issue for about a decade, and we would go back and forth between the two sides and stare at the face of the intelligence establishments and policy establishments in both Taipei and Beijing.(二軌對話)

In the early '90s, we had very strong positive discussions with Taiwan intelligence

officers, but also policy people who had that kind of experience or who had been very good

students of the mainland, and pound for pound, they way outclassed the Chinese side. The

Chinese side was living in shibboleths and theological postures, and with very little information within that access to media, it seemed.

In the decade since, it has been completely reversed. The guys you were thinking of have

long retired or passed on in Taiwan. I don't want to use too harsh language because this is an open forum, but I wouldn't look first at the National Security Bureau for an understanding of the mainland or to some other agencies in Taiwan, because they simply can't attract people who are interested in that work.

People who are interested in that work will teach in a university in China or they will

work in a corporation there, if that is what they want to do. It is not an attractive alternative to be in Taipei, forbidden to ever travel to China even though you are a China specialist.

On the other side, in the PRC, they must have, I don't know the exact number, my

impression is at least 250 people following every sparrow chirp on the island. They really are

incisively chewing over the material. You can't surprise them about anything, because if you

have appeared on TV with somebody, or as many Taiwanese businessmen who were called back during the last election, are sort of impressed and just standing on the stage with President Chen Shui-bian, and show some support to protect their business interests in Taiwan, they would soon be called on the carpet in Beijing because somebody saw Channel 48, got a tape of them with Chen Shui-bian, and they got to biaotai(表態), they have got to express themselves why they were wrong in doing that.

The PRC has greatly improved its knowledge, and they have I must say close to complete

knowledge of what is going on in Taiwan, if not complete understanding.

新加坡聯合早报摘譯

http://www.zaobao.com/gj/zg060816_503.html

如果我要了解中国大陆,我不会找台湾的国安局或是台湾其他政府机构,因为这些政府机构再也无法吸引到有兴趣做这种工作的人。相反的,在中国大陆,有至少250人在追踪台湾岛上每只麻雀的吱叫声。

       

( 時事評論兩岸 )
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證實一半
2006/08/19 01:05

小弟對大陸方面把握台灣的深度先不予評論. 但對此文另一判斷...則加以證實!!!
端看執政黨相關部門首長用的是日本通卻可說毫不了解中國(不需要是親中仇日), 便可知其態度.

包道格所言的轉變不是知識問題, 而是態度問題, 不是方法問題, 是本體問題. 所以有這樣的問題, 不能說是相關部門負責者的"錯誤", 因為存在...決定意識.